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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Malec

Puszcza

U S T U T

2–2

Full-time

Legia

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Puszcza Legia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

3,7

Scored

0,8

3,0

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

2,64 xG 0,99

44% Possession 56%

14 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 8

10 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Puszcza 16. · Legia 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	3	3	0	0	+5	-1.0	9
2	Lech Poznan	4	2	1	1	+3	+2.0	7
3	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	1	1	+3	+0.7	7
4	Widzew Lodz	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.0	7
5	Piast Gliwice	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.3	7
6	Rakow	4	2	1	1	+2	+3.1	7
7	Cracovia	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.5	7
8	Gornik Zabrze	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.4	7
9	Legia	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.8	6
10	Zaglebie	4	1	2	1	-1	-2.1	5
11	Motor Lublin	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.5	4
12	Radomiak Radom	3	1	0	2	-1	+3.5	3
13	GKS Katowice	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.4	3
14	Lechia Gdansk	4	0	2	2	-4	-2.1	2
15	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.3	1
16	Puszcza	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.7	1
17	Stal Mielec	4	0	1	3	-4	-0.4	1
18	Korona Kielce	4	0	1	3	-6	-4.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.6	6
2	Jagiellonia	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.9	6
3	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.8	6
4	Zaglebie	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
5	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
6	Legia	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.8	3
7	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.0	3
8	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.1	3
9	Puszcza	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
10	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
11	Stal Mielec	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
12	Rakow	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.9	1
13	Cracovia	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.1	1
14	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.7	1
15	Motor Lublin	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.4	1
16	Radomiak Radom	2	0	0	2	-2	+2.4	0
17	GKS Katowice	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.1	0
18	Korona Kielce	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cracovia	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.4	6
2	Rakow	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
3	Widzew Lodz	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.9	4
4	Piast Gliwice	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.3	4
5	Gornik Zabrze	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.5	4
6	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
7	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
8	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
9	Legia	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
10	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
11	Pogon Szczecin	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.1	1
12	Lech Poznan	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
13	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.3	1
14	Zaglebie	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.3	1
15	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-3	-3.6	1
16	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
17	Stal Mielec	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.8	0
18	Puszcza	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.