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Ekstraklasa
Referee: L Kuźma
Gornik Zabrze
T T U S S
0–0
Full-time
Rakow
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
1,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,40 xG 0,90
53% Possession 47%
10 Shots 15
0 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 9. · Rakow 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Legia 5 3 1 1 +5 +2.6 10
2 Pogon Szczecin 5 3 1 1 +5 +3.0 10
3 Lech Poznan 5 3 1 1 +4 +1.2 10
4 Cracovia 5 3 1 1 +3 -2.6 10
5 Jagiellonia 4 3 0 1 +3 -0.9 9
6 Piast Gliwice 4 2 2 0 +3 +2.3 8
7 Widzew Lodz 5 2 2 1 +1 -3.4 8
8 Rakow 4 2 1 1 +2 +3.1 7
9 Gornik Zabrze 4 2 1 1 +0 -0.4 7
10 Puszcza 5 1 2 2 +0 +1.0 5
11 Motor Lublin 4 1 2 1 +0 +1.2 5
12 GKS Katowice 5 1 2 2 -1 -2.1 5
13 Zaglebie 5 1 2 2 -2 -1.2 5
14 Slask Wroclaw 4 0 3 1 -2 +2.9 3
15 Radomiak Radom 4 1 0 3 -4 +1.0 3
16 Korona Kielce 5 0 2 3 -6 -5.2 2
17 Lechia Gdansk 5 0 2 3 -7 -2.2 2
18 Stal Mielec 4 0 1 3 -4 -0.4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gornik Zabrze Rakow
Kamil Lukoszek ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
10′
N. Wojtuszek 🔁
↦ Ł. Podolski
29′
34′
🟨 Kamil Pestka
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Fran Tudor
46′
🔁 M. Rundić
↦ K. Pestka
46′
🔁 D. Drachal
↦ E. Otieno
D. Szala 🔁
↦ Manu Sánchez
55′
S. Kozuki 🔁
↦ A. Buksa
55′
65′
🔁 L. Lamprou
↦ Adriano Amorim
71′
🔁 J. Braut Brunes
↦ P. Makuch
Filipe Nascimento 🔁
↦ P. Hellebrand
81′
P. Olkowski 🔁
↦ T. Ismaheel
81′
85′
🔁 B. Lederman
↦ V. Kochergin
Rafał Janicki 🟨
93′
Norbert Wojtuszek 🟨
93′
94′
🟨 Gustav Berggren
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Gornik Zabrze

4-4-1-1
25 M. Szromnik G
22 Manu Sánchez D
26 R. Janicki D
20 Josema D
64 E. Janža D
11 T. Ismaheel M
6 D. Rasak M
8 P. Hellebrand M
17 K. Lukoszek M
10 Ł. Podolski F
44 A. Buksa F
Bench (8)
15 N. Wojtuszek
27 D. Szala
41 S. Kozuki
23 Filipe Nascimento
16 P. Olkowski
5 K. Szcześniak
14 A. Tobolik
1 F. Majchrowicz

Coach: J. Urban

Rakow

3-4-3
1 K. Trelowski G
7 F. Tudor D
4 S. Svarnas D
33 K. Pestka D
20 Jean Carlos M
5 G. Berggren M
30 V. Kochergin M
26 E. Otieno M
19 A. Crnac F
9 P. Makuch F
84 Adriano Amorim F
Bench (9)
3 M. Rundić
21 D. Drachal
97 L. Lamprou
18 J. Braut Brunes
8 B. Lederman
17 J. Myszor
88 M. Rodin
23 P. Baráth
12 D. Kuciak

Coach: M. Papszun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Kuźma · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.