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Primeira Liga

Referee: António Nobre

Boavista

T U T U S

0–1

Full-time

Sp Braga

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Sp Braga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,63 xG 1,07

31% Possession 69%

7 Shots 12

1 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 8

6 Offside 5

8 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Boavista 8. · Sp Braga 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+7	+4.5	6
2	Porto	2	2	0	0	+5	+3.7	6
3	Moreirense	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.3	6
4	Guimaraes	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.2	6
5	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
6	Santa Clara	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.2	3
7	Benfica	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.5	3
8	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
9	Gil Vicente	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.4	3
10	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.7	3
11	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
12	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
13	AVS	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.5	1
14	Nacional	2	0	1	1	-5	-2.4	1
15	Farense	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.6	0
16	Arouca	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.1	0
17	Estoril	2	0	0	2	-4	-4.2	0
18	Casa Pia	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.4	3
2	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
3	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
4	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.5	3
5	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
6	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
7	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
8	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
9	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
10	AVS	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
11	Farense	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
12	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
13	Casa Pia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
14	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
15	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
16	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-5	-1.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+5	+1.9	3
2	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
3	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
4	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
5	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
6	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
7	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
8	Nacional	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
9	Farense	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
10	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
11	AVS	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
12	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.5	0
13	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
14	Benfica	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
15	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-3	-3.4	0
16	Casa Pia	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.