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Serie B
Referee: M Piccinini
Catanzaro
T S U T T
1–1
Full-time
Sassuolo
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,2
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
9 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Catanzaro Sassuolo
29′
🟨 Kristian Thorstvedt
Simone Pontisso 🟨
35′
38′
⚽ S. Mulattieri 0–1
D. Boloca
Half-time 1–1
1–1 S. Pontisso ⚽
T. Biasci
53′
58′
🟨 Armand Laurienté
59′
🔁 F. Caligara
↦ Pedro Obiang
59′
🔁 M. Lovato
↦ N. Bajrami
67′
🟨 Cas Odenthal
Jacopo Petriccione 🟨
71′
M. Pompetti 🔁
↦ S. Pontisso
77′
80′
🟨 Filippo Romagna
G. Volpe 🔁
↦ T. Biasci
83′
85′
🔁 Y. Paz
↦ J. Toljan
86′
🔁 F. Russo
↦ S. Mulattieri
90′
🔁 J. Kumi
↦ K. Thorstvedt
L. Krajnc 🔁
↦ A. Ceresoli
91′
Matias Antonini 🟨
93′
95′
❌ Armand Laurienté
penalty missed
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Catanzaro

5-3-2
22 M. Pigliacelli G
92 M. Šitum D
23 N. Brighenti D
4 Matias Antonini D
6 F. Bonini D
27 A. Ceresoli D
20 S. Pontisso M
10 J. Petriccione M
24 R. Pagano M
28 T. Biasci F
9 P. Iemmello F
Bench (10)
21 M. Pompetti
77 G. Volpe
32 L. Krajnc
1 A. Dini
8 I. Koutsoupias
3 R. Turicchia
2 M. Piras
99 E. Borrelli
63 G. Rafele
61 F. Maiolo

Coach: F. Caserta

Sassuolo

4-3-3
12 G. Satalino G
23 J. Toljan D
26 C. Odenthal D
19 F. Romagna D
3 J. Doig D
42 K. Thorstvedt M
14 Pedro Obiang M
11 D. Boloca M
72 N. Bajrami F
9 S. Mulattieri F
45 A. Laurienté F
Bench (12)
29 F. Caligara
20 M. Lovato
17 Y. Paz
91 F. Russo
55 J. Kumi
22 A. Scacchetti
28 J. Antiste
1 A. Russo
92 K. Bruno
15 E. Pieragnolo
35 L. Lipani
44 K. Miranda

Coach: F. Grosso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,46
🔒
U ✓
3,23
🔒
B
2,14
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,02
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,76
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Piccinini · 104 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.