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Ekstraklasa
Referee: J Przybył
Motor Lublin
S S T S T
0–2
Full-time
Rakow
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motor Lublin Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,75 xG 1,93
50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Mar -23 Motor Lublin – Rakow 0–3

Match report

Motor Lublin Rakow
24′
ℹ️ Vladyslav Kochergin
VAR: Penalty cancelled
32′
⚽ A. Crnac 0–1
F. Tudor
37′
🟨 Adriano
M. Bartoš 🔁
↦ K. Kruk
43′
Sebastian Rudol 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
M. N'Diaye 🔁
↦ K. Kubica
59′
K. Çalışkaner 🔁
↦ S. Mráz
59′
76′
🟨 Bogdan Racovițan
C. Simon 🔁
↦ M. Scalet
78′
P. Stolarski 🔁
↦ F. Luberecki
78′
78′
🔁 E. Otieno
↦ Adriano Amorim
82′
🟨 Ante Crnac
84′
🔁 D. Drachal
↦ P. Makuch
84′
🔁 P. Baráth
↦ V. Kochergin
87′
⚽ D. Drachal 0–2
A. Crnac
91′
🔁 S. Svarnas
↦ F. Tudor
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Motor Lublin

5-4-1
40 I. Brkić G
17 F. Wójcik D
21 S. Rudol D
37 M. Scalet D
74 K. Kruk D
24 F. Luberecki D
26 M. Król M
68 B. Wolski M
8 K. Kubica M
77 P. Ceglarz M
90 S. Mráz F
Bench (9)
39 M. Bartoš
30 M. N'Diaye
11 K. Çalışkaner
22 C. Simon
28 P. Stolarski
55 M. Gąsior
10 R. Król
1 K. Rosa
3 P. Romanowski

Coach: M. Stolarski

Rakow

3-4-2-1
1 K. Trelowski G
25 B. Racovițan D
88 M. Rodin D
33 K. Pestka D
7 F. Tudor M
5 G. Berggren M
30 V. Kochergin M
20 Jean Carlos M
19 A. Crnac F
84 Adriano Amorim F
9 P. Makuch F
Bench (9)
26 E. Otieno
21 D. Drachal
23 P. Baráth
4 S. Svarnas
97 L. Lamprou
12 D. Kuciak
8 B. Lederman
91 T. Walczak
27 B. Nowak

Coach: M. Papszun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Przybył · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.