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Premier League
Referee: S Barrott
Brentford
S T U S T
2–1
Full-time
Crystal Palace
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Crystal Palace
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,8
3,3
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+2,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,59 xG 1,17
46% Possession 54%
9 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Dec -23 Crystal Palace – Brentford 3–1 26. Aug -23 Brentford – Crystal Palace 1–1 18. Feb -23 Brentford – Crystal Palace 1–1 30. Aug -22 Crystal Palace – Brentford 1–1 12. Feb -22 Brentford – Crystal Palace 0–0

Match report

Brentford Crystal Palace
Yoane Wissa 🟨
20′
22′
🟨 Joachim Andersen
1–0 B. Mbeumo ⚽
Y. Wissa
29′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Marc Guéhi
46′
🔁 O. Édouard
↦ J. Mateta
57′
⚽ E. Pinnock 2–0
own goal
58′
🟨 Chris Richards
65′
🟨 Daichi Kamada
70′
🔁 J. Ayew
↦ D. Kamada
M. Damsgaard 🔁
↦ V. Janelt
74′
K. Lewis-Potter 🔁
↦ K. Schade
74′
74′
🔁 J. Lerma
↦ A. Wharton
3–0 Y. Wissa ⚽
76′
F. Onyeka 🔁
↦ M. Jensen
84′
Fábio Carvalho 🔁
↦ Y. Wissa
84′
84′
🔁 I. Sarr
↦ C. Richards
84′
🔁 C. Doucouré
↦ W. Hughes
B. Mee 🔁
↦ B. Mbeumo
90′
91′
🟨 Jordan Ayew
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Brentford

4-3-3
1 M. Flekken G
30 M. Roerslev D
22 N. Collins D
5 E. Pinnock D
20 K. Ajer D
6 C. Nørgaard M
27 V. Janelt M
8 M. Jensen M
19 B. Mbeumo F
11 Y. Wissa F
7 K. Schade F
Bench (9)
24 M. Damsgaard
23 K. Lewis-Potter
15 F. Onyeka
14 Fábio Carvalho
16 B. Mee
28 R. Trevitt
18 Y. Yarmoliuk
12 H. Valdimarsson
25 M. Peart-Harris

Coach: T. Frank

Crystal Palace

3-4-2-1
1 D. Henderson G
26 C. Richards D
5 J. Andersen D
6 M. Guéhi D
12 D. Muñoz M
20 A. Wharton M
19 W. Hughes M
3 T. Mitchell M
18 D. Kamada F
10 E. Eze F
14 J. Mateta F
Bench (9)
22 O. Édouard
9 J. Ayew
8 J. Lerma
7 I. Sarr
28 C. Doucouré
15 J. Schlupp
17 N. Clyne
32 S. Johnstone
34 C. Riad

Coach: O. Glasner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,46
🔒
U
3,44
🔒
B
2,90
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,81
🔒
U2,5
2,03
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Barrott · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.