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Superligaen

Referee: M Krogh

Randers FC

T S S U T

1–2

Full-time

Sonderjyske

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Randers FC Sonderjyske

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 50%

75%

25%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

1,8

0,3

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,91 xG 1,94

58% Possession 42%

15 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Randers FC 7. · Sonderjyske 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	5	3	2	0	+5	+3.6	11
2	FC Copenhagen	4	3	1	0	+5	+3.5	10
3	Silkeborg	4	3	0	1	+3	+2.1	9
4	Nordsjaelland	4	2	2	0	+4	+3.9	8
5	Aarhus	4	2	1	1	+4	-0.3	7
6	Brondby	4	2	1	1	+2	+3.1	7
7	Randers FC	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.3	7
8	Aalborg	4	2	0	2	-3	-2.2	6
9	Lyngby	5	0	2	3	-5	-2.5	2
10	Viborg	4	0	1	3	-4	-1.8	1
11	Sonderjyske	4	0	1	3	-7	-5.5	1
12	Vejle	4	0	0	4	-5	-4.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.6	6
2	Silkeborg	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.8	6
3	Nordsjaelland	3	1	2	0	+3	+2.9	5
4	Aarhus	2	1	1	0	+4	+0.9	4
5	FC Copenhagen	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.0	4
6	Aalborg	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
7	Randers FC	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.2	3
8	Brondby	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.6	3
9	Viborg	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.6	1
10	Sonderjyske	2	0	1	1	-2	-3.0	1
11	Vejle	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.4	0
12	Lyngby	3	0	0	3	-5	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.5	6
2	Midtjylland	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.1	5
3	Brondby	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.5	4
4	Randers FC	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.5	4
5	Silkeborg	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.2	3
6	Nordsjaelland	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
7	Aarhus	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.2	3
8	Aalborg	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.2	3
9	Lyngby	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.9	2
10	Viborg	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.2	0
11	Vejle	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.7	0
12	Sonderjyske	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.