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DFB-Pokal
Referee: B Dankert
1–1
Full-time
Nurnberg
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Saarbrücken Nurnberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 57%
80%
33%
Points per game
2,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
60%
83%
Both score Ø 64%
60%
67%
Average goals
2,6
3,7
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
13 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Bielefeld 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Greuther Furth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 St Pauli 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Wurzburger Kickers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Hoffenheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Alemannia Aachen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 FC Ingolstadt 04 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Greifswalder FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
23 Hannover 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
25 VfR Aalen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
26 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
27 Phönix Lübeck 1 0 0 1 -3 0
28 Osnabruck 1 0 0 1 -4 0
29 Ulm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
30 FC 08 Villingen 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Saarbrücken Nurnberg
12′
M. Ševčík 0–1
R. Knoche
Half-time 0–1
K. Brünker 🔁
↦ P. Schmidt
46′
T. Civeja 🔁
↦ E. Krahn
55′
58′
🟨 Florian Flick
62′
🔁 J. Serra
↦ K. Okunuki
62′
🔁 R. Lubach
↦ M. Ševčík
62′
🔁 O. Karafiát
↦ R. Knoche
69′
🔁 T. Duman
↦ C. Jander
K. Rabihić 🔁
↦ S. Vasiliadis
71′
C. Gourichy 🔁
↦ S. Stehle
71′
J. Günther-Schmidt 🔁
↦ A. Naïfi
78′
79′
🟨 Florian Pick
1–1 K. Brünker
C. Rizzuto
80′
92′
🔁 D. Forkel
↦ F. Pick
Kasim Rabihic 🟨
116′
117′
🟨 Oliver Villadsen
121′
T. Duman 1–2
2–2 C. Rizzuto
122′
123′
F. Flick 2–3
3–3 T. Civeja
124′
125′
J. Serra 3–4
M. Zeitz
penalty missed
126′
127′
L. Schleimer 3–5
4–5 K. Brünker
128′
129′
R. Lubach 4–6
Full-time 4–6

Line-ups

FC Saarbrücken

5-3-2
13 P. Menzel G
7 C. Rizzuto D
8 M. Zeitz D
4 S. Sonnenberg D
5 E. Krahn D
33 T. Schumacher D
19 S. Vasiliadis M
6 P. Sontheimer M
25 A. Naïfi M
22 S. Stehle F
39 P. Schmidt F
Bench (9)
9 K. Brünker
23 T. Civeja
10 K. Rabihić
21 C. Gourichy
20 J. Günther-Schmidt
18 L. Wilhelm
1 T. Paterok
2 P. Fahrner
31 R. Neudecker

Coach: R. Ziehl

Nurnberg

4-2-3-1
26 C. Mathenia G
22 E. Valentini D
4 F. Jeltsch D
31 R. Knoche D
2 O. Villadsen D
6 F. Flick M
20 C. Jander M
11 K. Okunuki M
19 M. Ševčík M
7 F. Pick M
36 L. Schleimer F
Bench (9)
23 J. Serra
18 R. Lubach
44 O. Karafiát
8 T. Duman
34 D. Forkel
3 Danilo Soares
37 M. Kukučka
33 N. Seidel
9 S. Tzimas

Coach: M. Klose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Dankert · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.