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Ekstraklasa

Referee: K Jakubik

Warta Poznan

T T S T S

0–1

Full-time

Widzew Lodz

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Warta Poznan Widzew Lodz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 35%

50%

20%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

50%

60%

Both score Ø 47%

33%

60%

Average goals

2,2

2,6

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

2,4

2,6

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

17 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 9

1 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Warta Poznan 13. · Widzew Lodz 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	6	5	1	0	+13	16
2	Legia	6	3	2	1	+2	11
3	Stal Mielec	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Cracovia	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Pogon Szczecin	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Slask Wroclaw	6	2	3	1	+0	9
7	Radomiak Radom	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Zaglebie	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	Rakow	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Gornik Zabrze	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Jagiellonia	6	2	1	3	-1	7
12	Korona Kielce	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Warta Poznan	5	2	0	3	-4	6
14	Widzew Lodz	5	1	1	3	-1	4
15	Piast Gliwice	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Lechia Gdansk	4	1	0	3	-6	3
17	Lech Poznan	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Legnica	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Legia	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Rakow	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Cracovia	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Jagiellonia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Slask Wroclaw	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Stal Mielec	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Korona Kielce	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Radomiak Radom	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Gornik Zabrze	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Zaglebie	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Widzew Lodz	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Legnica	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Lech Poznan	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Warta Poznan	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Stal Mielec	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Warta Poznan	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Zaglebie	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Radomiak Radom	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Widzew Lodz	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Cracovia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Slask Wroclaw	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Legia	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Korona Kielce	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Piast Gliwice	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Lechia Gdansk	3	1	0	2	-5	3
15	Lech Poznan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Jagiellonia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Legnica	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.