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KNVB Beker
DEM
U T
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kloetinge 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Eemdijk 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Blauw Geel 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Sparta Nijkerk 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 RKAV Volendam 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Hoek 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Barendrecht 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Ijsselmeervogels 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 SJC Noordwijk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 DVS 33 Ermelo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Csv Apeldoorn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 SC Genemuiden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Bon Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 URK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 HSV ODIN 59 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Nieuwkoop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 SVOD '22 1 0 0 1 -4 0
21 Bunde 1 0 0 1 -5 0
22 BOL 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

DEM XerxesDZB (Zat)
Half-time 1–0
1–0 T. de Vries
113′
Full-time 1–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.