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Referee: F Willenborg
FC Viktoria Koln
T
3–2
Full-time
Werder Bremen
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Viktoria Koln Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
0%
83%
Average goals
5,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
1,3
Conceded
5,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-5,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
18 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 4
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Match report

FC Viktoria Koln Werder Bremen
11′
🟥 Amos Pieper
43′
⚽ M. Ducksch 0–1
Half-time 0–1
60′
🔁 C. Groß
↦ M. Ducksch
S. Handle 🔁
↦ L. Marseiler
66′
Moritz Fritz 🟨
70′
70′
🟨 Jens Stage
S. Najar 🔁
↦ M. Fritz
71′
J. Lorch 🔁
↦ B. Henning
71′
71′
🔁 M. Weiser
↦ O. Burke
71′
🔁 N. Rapp
↦ L. Bittencourt
1–1 D. Philipp ⚽
M. Schultz
72′
77′
⚽ N. Füllkrug 1–2
2–2 D. Philipp ⚽
79′
V. Mustafa 🔁
↦ D. Philipp
86′
90′
🔁 M. Friedl
↦ A. Jung
3–2 D. Bogićević ⚽
94′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

FC Viktoria Koln

3-4-3
1 B. Voll G
3 M. Schultz D
23 M. Fritz D
15 C. Greger D
28 P. Koronkiewicz M
6 S. Russo M
8 D. Bogićević M
37 N. May M
10 D. Philipp F
30 L. Marseiler F
19 B. Henning F
Bench (9)
7 S. Handle
21 S. Najar
4 J. Lorch
11 V. Mustafa
17 F. Heister
39 D. Kubatta
33 J. Sticker
24 K. Rauhut
16 F. Engelhardt

Coach: O. Janßen

Werder Bremen

3-4-2-1
1 J. Pavlenka G
5 A. Pieper D
4 N. Stark D
13 M. Veljković D
24 O. Burke M
10 L. Bittencourt M
6 J. Stage M
3 A. Jung M
20 R. Schmid F
7 M. Ducksch F
11 N. Füllkrug F
Bench (9)
36 C. Groß
8 M. Weiser
23 N. Rapp
32 M. Friedl
29 N. Woltemade
9 D. Kownacki
25 L. Opitz
14 S. Lynen
30 M. Zetterer

Coach: O. Werner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Willenborg · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.