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Primeira Liga
Referee: Fábio Melo
Sp Lisbon
S S S U S
3–2
Full-time
Vizela
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Vizela
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
2,3
0,3
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,04 xG 0,86
61% Possession 39%
19 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
16 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. May -23 Vizela – Sp Lisbon 1–2 20. Jan -23 Sp Lisbon – Vizela 2–1 16. Jan -22 Vizela – Sp Lisbon 0–2 6. Aug -21 Sp Lisbon – Vizela 3–0

Match report

Sp Lisbon Vizela
Luís Neto 🟨
-5′
1–0 V. Gyökeres ⚽
14′
2–0 V. Gyökeres ⚽
15′
Half-time 2–0
M. Edwards 🔁
↦ Daniel Bragança
46′
Ricardo Esgaio 🔁
↦ Geny Catamo
55′
Ousmane Diomande 🟨
58′
Paulinho 🔁
↦ Trincão
64′
Afonso Moreira 🔁
↦ Matheus Reis
64′
68′
🔁 O. Lebedenko
↦ Matheus Pereira
75′
⚽ S. Essende 2–1
Nuno Moreira
77′
⚽ Nuno Moreira 2–2
Tomás Silva
84′
🔁 Jardel
↦ S. Essende
84′
🔁 Hugo Oliveira
↦ Nuno Moreira
Sebastián Coates 🟨
89′
95′
🔁 Osama Rashid
↦ R. Bustamante
95′
🔁 D. Saint-Louis
↦ Kiko Bondoso
Ricardo Esgaio 🟨
97′
3–2 Paulinho ⚽
99′
Luís Neto 🔁
↦ Afonso Moreira
101′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Sp Lisbon

3-4-3
1 Adán G
26 O. Diomande D
4 S. Coates D
25 Gonçalo Inácio D
21 Geny Catamo M
23 Daniel Bragança M
5 H. Morita M
2 Matheus Reis M
17 Trincão F
9 V. Gyökeres F
8 Pote F
Bench (9)
10 M. Edwards
47 Ricardo Esgaio
20 Paulinho
90 Afonso Moreira
13 Luís Neto
12 F. Israel
77 Jovane Cabral
72 Eduardo Quaresma
82 Mateus Fernandes

Coach: Rúben Amorim

Vizela

4-2-3-1
97 F. Buntić G
82 Tomás Silva D
3 Bruno Wilson D
5 Anderson D
6 Matheus Pereira D
12 R. Bustamante M
90 Diogo Nascimento M
10 Kiko Bondoso M
20 Samu M
79 Nuno Moreira M
99 S. Essende F
Bench (9)
19 O. Lebedenko
7 Jardel
2 Hugo Oliveira
23 Osama Rashid
14 D. Saint-Louis
8 A. Méndez
9 Iker Unzueta
25 João Escoval
1 F. Ruberto

Coach: Pablo Villar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,17
🔒
U
7,23
🔒
B
16,63
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,56
🔒
U2,5
2,40
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Fábio Melo · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.