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La Liga
Referee: Victor Garcia Verdura
Las Palmas
U S U S U
1–1
Full-time
Mallorca
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Mallorca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,92 xG 1,61
69% Possession 31%
5 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 6
11 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,44
U ✓
3,00
B
3,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,70
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Victor Garcia Verdura · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.