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Championship

Referee: J Smith

Ipswich

S U T S S

2–0

Full-time

Stoke

U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ipswich Stoke

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,0

This season — Championship · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

5,0

Scored

2,0

4,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,93 xG 0,61

44% Possession 56%

22 Shots 9

10 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

7 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ipswich 7. · Stoke 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Watford	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.3	3
2	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
3	Coventry	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.0	3
4	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
5	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.2	3
6	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
7	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
8	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
9	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
10	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
11	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
12	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
13	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
14	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
15	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
16	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
17	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.2	0
18	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0
19	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
20	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
21	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
22	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
23	QPR	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.3	0
24	Middlesbrough	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Watford	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.3	3
2	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
3	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.4	3
4	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
5	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.2	3
6	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
7	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
8	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
9	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
10	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
11	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0
12	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
13	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
2	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
3	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
4	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
5	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
6	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
7	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.2	0
8	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
9	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
10	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
11	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
12	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.4	0
13	QPR	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.