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Ligue 2
Referee: A Taleb
Caen
S S U T S
2–0
Full-time
Pau FC
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Pau FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,3
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%
23 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Caen 5. · Pau FC 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rodez 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 Auxerre 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Caen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Amiens 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Laval 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Dunkerque 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Troyes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Ajaccio 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Bastia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Angers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 St Etienne 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Paris FC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Valenciennes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
19 Annecy 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Bordeaux 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caen Pau FC
36′
🟨 Ousmane Kanté
1–0 Q. Daubin
M. Autret
38′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🔁 A. Batisse
↦ I. Mohamed
2–0 Alexandre Mendy
48′
58′
🟨 Ousmane Kanté
58′
🟥 Ousmane Kanté
A. Coeff 🔁
↦ Q. Daubin
66′
H. Vandermersch 🔁
↦ M. Autret
66′
67′
🔁 S. Degert
↦ M. George
67′
🔁 O. Ngom
↦ S. DAlmeida
76′
🔁 K. Ahoussou
↦ X. Kouassi
76′
🔁 P. Djitte
↦ Y. Njoh
T. Gomis 🔁
↦ Alexandre Mendy
78′
G. Kyeremeh 🔁
↦ Y. Court
86′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Caen

4-4-2
1 A. Mandréa G
4 V. Henry D
91 E. Ntim D
29 R. Thomas D
2 A. Abdi D
8 Y. Court M
6 Q. Daubin M
61 B. Traoré M
23 M. Autret M
21 B. Brahimi F
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
92 A. Coeff
24 H. Vandermersch
7 T. Gomis
17 G. Kyeremeh
16 Y. Clémentia
20 N. Lebreton
3 D. Bolumbu

Coach: J. Furlan

Pau FC

3-4-3
1 B. Kamara G
19 O. Kanté D
4 X. Kouassi D
25 J. Ruiz D
24 K. Boto M
6 S. D'Almeida M
27 I. Mohamed M
23 J. Obiang M
10 K. Boutaïb F
9 M. George F
30 Y. Njoh F
Bench (7)
17 A. Batisse
33 S. Degert
18 O. Ngom
22 K. Ahoussou
12 P. Djitte
15 M. Ros
40 M. Jeannin

Coach: N. Usaï

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,68
U
3,62
B
5,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Taleb · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.