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KNVB Beker

Baronie

0–1

Full-time

Hoogeveen

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kloetinge	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Eemdijk	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	GVV Unitas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Sparta Nijkerk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	RKAV Volendam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Sportlust '46	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Harkemase Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Barendrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Ijsselmeervogels	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	SJC Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Staphorst	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Olde Veste '54	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	HVCH	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	DEM	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Csv Apeldoorn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Vvsb	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Rijnvogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	TEC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Dovo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	SC Genemuiden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Berkum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Bon Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	AWC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	AGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Veensche Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	URK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	XerxesDZB (Zat)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	HSV ODIN 59	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Nieuwkoop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Purmersteijn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	SVOD '22	1	0	0	1	-4	0
40	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	Bunde	1	0	0	1	-5	0
42	BOL	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kloetinge	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Eemdijk	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	GVV Unitas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Sparta Nijkerk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Barendrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Ijsselmeervogels	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	SJC Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	DEM	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Csv Apeldoorn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Vvsb	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	TEC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	AWC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	AGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Veensche Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Nieuwkoop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Purmersteijn	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RKAV Volendam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Sportlust '46	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Harkemase Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Staphorst	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Olde Veste '54	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	HVCH	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Rijnvogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Dovo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	SC Genemuiden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Berkum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Bon Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	URK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	XerxesDZB (Zat)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	HSV ODIN 59	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	SVOD '22	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Bunde	1	0	0	1	-5	0
21	BOL	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Baronie Hoogeveen

Half-time 0–1

85′

⚽ N. Schuurman 0–1

Full-time 0–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

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B ✓

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Over/under goals

O1,5

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U1,5 ✓

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O2,5

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U2,5 ✓

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O3,5

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U3,5 ✓

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Both teams to score

BLS ja

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BLS nei ✓

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Recent matches

21. Sep KNVB 3 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Odds comparison

Recent matches