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Primeira Liga
Referee: Bruno Vieira
Farense
S T S S T
0–3
Full-time
Casa Pia
T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Farense Casa Pia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,28 xG 1,75
56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Farense Casa Pia
15′
⚽ Clayton 0–1
Leonardo Lelo
Rui Costa ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
18′
Half-time 0–1
Cristian Ponde 🔁
↦ Elves Baldé
46′
Bruno Duarte 🔁
↦ Mattheus Oliveira
46′
48′
🟨 Neto
49′
🟨 Ricardo Batista
56′
🔁 Pablo Roberto
↦ Neto
M. Belloumi 🔁
↦ Marco Matias
62′
Rafael Barbosa 🔁
↦ Rui Costa
63′
64′
⚽ Pablo Roberto 0–2
Mohamed Bachir Belloumi 🟨
65′
70′
🔁 Rafael Martins
↦ Clayton
70′
🔁 Felippe Cardoso
↦ Y. Soma
74′
🟨 Beni
Vítor Gonçalves 🔁
↦ Cláudio Falcão
77′
81′
🔁 Diogo Pinto
↦ Beni
81′
🔁 João Nunes
↦ Fernando Varela
86′
🟨 Nermin Zolotić
90′
⚽ S. Godwin 0–3
Rafael Barbosa 🟨
92′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Farense

4-4-2
33 Ricardo Velho G
2 Fran Delgado D
37 Gonçalo Silva D
6 Z. Muscat D
31 Talocha D
7 Elves Baldé M
29 Cláudio Falcão M
27 Mattheus Oliveira M
77 Marco Matias M
14 Fabrício Isidoro F
19 Rui Costa F
Bench (9)
20 Cristian Ponde
9 Bruno Duarte
62 M. Belloumi
8 Rafael Barbosa
80 Vítor Gonçalves
1 Luiz Felipe
90 Maxuel
50 André Seruca
4 Artur Jorge

Coach: José Mota

Casa Pia

3-4-2-1
33 Ricardo Batista G
15 Fernando Varela D
13 Vasco Fernandes D
19 N. Zolotić D
72 Gaizka Larrazabal M
8 Neto M
16 Beni M
5 Leonardo Lelo M
11 Y. Soma F
7 S. Godwin F
99 Clayton F
Bench (9)
80 Pablo Roberto
9 Rafael Martins
30 Felippe Cardoso
10 Diogo Pinto
3 João Nunes
77 Tiago Dias
23 Fernando Andrade
6 Derick Poloni
68 Lucas Paes

Coach: Filipe Martins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,49
🔒
U
3,08
🔒
B ✓
3,02
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,31
🔒
U2,5
1,60
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Bruno Vieira · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.