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Championship
Referee: S Barrott
West Brom
T S T T T
3–2
Full-time
Swansea
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Swansea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,5
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,55 xG 2,32
42% Possession 58%
11 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 8
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Brom 19. · Swansea 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Watford 1 1 0 0 +4 +2.3 3
2 Stoke 1 1 0 0 +3 +1.6 3
3 Coventry 2 1 0 1 +2 -0.0 3
4 Plymouth 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.1 3
5 Norwich 1 1 0 0 +1 +2.2 3
6 Leicester 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.4 3
7 Ipswich 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.7 3
8 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.6 3
9 Southampton 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.8 3
10 Millwall 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.5 3
11 Leeds 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.4 1
12 Cardiff 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.4 1
13 Swansea 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.6 1
14 Birmingham 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.6 1
15 Bristol City 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.2 1
16 Preston 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.2 1
17 Hull 1 0 0 1 -1 -2.2 0
18 Sunderland 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.7 0
19 West Brom 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.6 0
20 Sheffield Weds 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.8 0
21 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.1 0
22 Rotherham 1 0 0 1 -3 -1.6 0
23 QPR 1 0 0 1 -4 -2.3 0
24 Middlesbrough 2 0 0 2 -4 -0.1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Brom Swansea
1–0 S. Ajayi
C. Townsend
18′
Darnell Furlong 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
49′
🟨 Ben Cabango
1–1 C. Rushworth
own goal
50′
57′
🟨 Oliver Cooper
61′
🔁 C. Patino
↦ H. Ashby
61′
🔁 L. Cullen
↦ O. Cooper
62′
🟨 Harry Darling
2–1 J. Swift
64′
N. Chalobah 🔁
↦ O. Yokuşlu
68′
A. Mowatt 🔁
↦ M. Phillips
69′
71′
🟨 Nathan Wood
74′
H. Darling 2–2
C. Patino
J. Maja 🔁
↦ J. Swift
78′
J. Sarmiento 🔁
↦ J. Wallace
78′
80′
N. Wood-Gordon 2–3
H. Darling
K. Bartley 🔁
↦ E. Pieters
82′
89′
🔁 J. Ginnelly
↦ J. Yates
Nathaniel Chalobah 🟨
97′
Alex Palmer 🟨
98′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

West Brom

3-4-3
24 A. Palmer G
6 S. Ajayi D
4 C. Kipré D
15 E. Pieters D
2 D. Furlong M
8 J. Molumby M
35 O. Yokuşlu M
3 C. Townsend M
7 J. Wallace F
10 M. Phillips F
19 J. Swift F
Bench (9)
14 N. Chalobah
27 A. Mowatt
9 J. Maja
17 J. Sarmiento
5 K. Bartley
31 T. Fellows
34 E. Ingram
29 T. Gardner-Hickman
33 J. Griffiths

Coach: Carlos Corberan

Swansea

3-5-2
22 C. Rushworth G
6 H. Darling D
5 B. Cabango D
23 N. Wood-Gordon D
30 H. Ashby M
4 J. Fulton M
8 M. Grimes M
31 O. Cooper M
2 J. Key M
17 J. Piroe F
9 J. Yates F
Bench (9)
18 C. Patino
20 L. Cullen
11 J. Ginnelly
47 A. Abdulai
7 J. Allen
12 J. Paterson
1 A. Fisher
19 M. Kukharevych
26 K. Naughton

Coach: M. Duff

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,08
U
3,46
B
3,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,88
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Barrott · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.