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Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan
S S S U U
1–0
Full-time
Piast Gliwice
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Piast Gliwice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 47%
57%
36%
Points per game
2,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
43%
36%
Both score Ø 47%
43%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lech Poznan 2. · Piast Gliwice 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lechia Gdansk 15 8 6 1 +14 30
2 Lech Poznan 14 8 5 1 +20 29
3 Pogon Szczecin 14 7 5 2 +12 26
4 Rakow 13 7 5 1 +8 26
5 Radomiak Radom 14 5 7 2 +5 22
6 Slask Wroclaw 14 5 6 3 +5 21
7 Jagiellonia 15 5 6 4 -1 21
8 Stal Mielec 15 5 6 4 -1 21
9 Wisla Plock 15 6 2 7 +1 20
10 Piast Gliwice 14 5 3 6 +1 18
11 Cracovia 14 4 5 5 -2 17
12 Zaglebie 13 5 2 6 -5 17
13 Wisla 15 5 2 8 -10 17
14 Gornik Zabrze 13 4 3 6 -3 15
15 Nieciecza 13 2 5 6 -5 11
16 Warta Poznan 15 2 5 8 -9 11
17 Legia 12 3 0 9 -10 9
18 Leczna 14 1 5 8 -20 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.