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Ekstraklasa

Rakow

T S T T S

2–3

Full-time

Lech Poznan

U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

2,0

2,6

Scored

0,8

1,6

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,6

This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

2,0

2,6

Scored

0,8

1,6

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Rakow 11. · Lech Poznan 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	6	4	2	0	+5	14
2	Pogon Szczecin	5	4	1	0	+5	13
3	Jagiellonia	6	3	2	1	+5	11
4	Cracovia	6	3	1	2	+3	10
5	Lech Poznan	5	2	2	1	+3	8
6	Piast Gliwice	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Wisla	6	2	1	3	+2	7
8	Legia	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Lechia Gdansk	6	1	4	1	+0	7
10	Gornik Zabrze	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Rakow	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Zaglebie	5	1	2	2	+0	5
13	Korona Kielce	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	LKS Lodz	5	1	1	3	-5	4
15	Arka Gdynia	6	0	2	4	-9	2
16	Wisla Plock	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla	3	2	0	1	+4	6
2	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Cracovia	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Slask Wroclaw	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Gornik Zabrze	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Zaglebie	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Piast Gliwice	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Legia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Lech Poznan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Lechia Gdansk	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Rakow	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Arka Gdynia	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Wisla Plock	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	LKS Lodz	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Korona Kielce	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Jagiellonia	3	1	2	0	+3	5
4	Lech Poznan	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Cracovia	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Lechia Gdansk	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Korona Kielce	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Legia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Piast Gliwice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Rakow	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	LKS Lodz	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Wisla	3	0	1	2	-2	1
13	Gornik Zabrze	3	0	1	2	-3	1
14	Zaglebie	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Wisla Plock	2	0	0	2	-5	0
16	Arka Gdynia	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.