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Ekstraklasa

Legia

T S U S S

3–1

Full-time

Rakow

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Rakow

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 47%

60%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

60%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

60%

50%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,5

This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 47%

60%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

60%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

60%

50%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Legia 8. · Rakow 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	7	4	3	0	+5	15
2	Jagiellonia	7	4	2	1	+7	14
3	Pogon Szczecin	7	4	2	1	+4	14
4	Cracovia	7	4	1	2	+4	13
5	Lech Poznan	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Piast Gliwice	7	3	2	2	+3	11
7	Wisla	7	3	1	3	+4	10
8	Legia	5	3	1	1	+2	10
9	Lechia Gdansk	7	2	4	1	+1	10
10	Gornik Zabrze	7	3	1	3	+1	10
11	Wisla Plock	6	2	1	3	-4	7
12	Rakow	6	2	0	4	-3	6
13	Zaglebie	7	1	2	4	-5	5
14	Arka Gdynia	7	1	2	4	-8	5
15	LKS Lodz	7	1	1	5	-7	4
16	Korona Kielce	7	1	1	5	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla	4	3	0	1	+6	9
2	Gornik Zabrze	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Slask Wroclaw	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Cracovia	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Piast Gliwice	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Zaglebie	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Arka Gdynia	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Wisla Plock	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Legia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Lech Poznan	3	1	0	2	+1	3
13	Lechia Gdansk	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Rakow	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	LKS Lodz	4	0	1	3	-3	1
16	Korona Kielce	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	4	2	2	0	+5	8
2	Slask Wroclaw	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Lech Poznan	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Cracovia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Lechia Gdansk	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Piast Gliwice	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	Legia	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Korona Kielce	4	1	1	2	-3	4
10	Rakow	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	LKS Lodz	3	1	0	2	-4	3
12	Wisla Plock	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Wisla	3	0	1	2	-2	1
14	Gornik Zabrze	4	0	1	3	-4	1
15	Zaglebie	3	0	0	3	-4	0
16	Arka Gdynia	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.