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Allsvenskan

Referee: T Olofsson

GAIS

T S S T S

2–0

Full-time

Vasteras SK

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GAIS Vasteras SK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

57%

14%

Points per game

1,7

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

71%

29%

Both score Ø 43%

57%

29%

Average goals

2,9

1,7

Scored

1,3

0,4

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

32% Possession 68%

11 Shots 19

7 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match GAIS 6. · Vasteras SK 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	7	6	0	1	+15	+6.8	18
2	Mjallby	8	4	2	2	+5	+1.0	14
3	AIK	8	4	2	2	+2	-2.2	14
4	Djurgarden	7	4	1	2	+5	+1.2	13
5	Hacken	7	4	1	2	+4	-1.4	13
6	GAIS	7	4	0	3	-2	+0.4	12
7	Halmstad	8	4	0	4	-5	-3.6	12
8	Elfsborg	7	3	1	3	-1	+2.5	10
9	Sirius	8	3	1	4	-2	+2.0	10
10	Norrkoping	7	3	1	3	-7	-4.1	10
11	Brommapojkarna	7	2	3	2	+2	+2.5	9
12	Hammarby	7	3	0	4	+1	+1.0	9
13	Goteborg	7	2	1	4	-2	-0.8	7
14	Varnamo	7	2	1	4	-7	-4.5	7
15	Kalmar	7	2	0	5	-2	-2.9	6
16	Vasteras SK	7	1	0	6	-6	+2.3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	5	4	0	1	+7	-0.3	12
2	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+8	+1.2	9
3	Hammarby	4	3	0	1	+5	+1.0	9
4	Mjallby	4	2	2	0	+4	+0.7	8
5	Elfsborg	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.8	7
6	Djurgarden	4	2	1	1	+2	-2.1	7
7	Hacken	4	2	0	2	+0	-1.4	6
8	Norrkoping	3	2	0	1	-1	-3.2	6
9	Halmstad	4	2	0	2	-2	-0.2	6
10	GAIS	3	2	0	1	-2	-0.1	6
11	Kalmar	4	1	0	3	+0	-1.4	3
12	Sirius	3	1	0	2	-1	+2.0	3
13	Vasteras SK	4	1	0	3	-3	+1.9	3
14	Brommapojkarna	3	0	2	1	-3	+0.1	2
15	Goteborg	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.2	1
16	Varnamo	3	0	0	3	-7	-2.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	4	3	0	1	+7	+5.6	9
2	Brommapojkarna	4	2	1	1	+5	+2.4	7
3	Hacken	3	2	1	0	+4	–	7
4	Varnamo	4	2	1	1	+0	-2.4	7
5	Sirius	5	2	1	2	-1	-0.0	7
6	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+3	+3.3	6
7	Goteborg	4	2	0	2	+2	+1.4	6
8	Mjallby	4	2	0	2	+1	+0.3	6
9	GAIS	4	2	0	2	+0	+0.5	6
10	Halmstad	4	2	0	2	-3	-3.4	6
11	Norrkoping	4	1	1	2	-6	-0.9	4
12	Kalmar	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.6	3
13	Elfsborg	3	1	0	2	-4	+0.6	3
14	AIK	3	0	2	1	-5	-1.9	2
15	Vasteras SK	3	0	0	3	-3	+0.4	0
16	Hammarby	3	0	0	3	-4	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.