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Allsvenskan
Referee: Fredrik Klitte
Hammarby
S T S U U
3–0
Full-time
Vasteras SK
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Vasteras SK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
40%
80%
Both score Ø 70%
60%
80%
Average goals
3,6
3,8
Scored
2,6
1,8
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,12 xG 0,58
61% Possession 39%
33 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 0
9 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 0
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hammarby 5. · Vasteras SK 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sirius 6 5 1 0 +10 +5.9 16
2 Hacken 6 2 4 0 +3 +1.6 10
3 Malmo FF 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Elfsborg 5 3 1 1 +3 +1.8 10
5 Hammarby 5 2 2 1 +8 +3.0 8
6 Degerfors 6 2 2 2 +0 -1.8 8
7 Vasteras SK 5 2 2 1 -1 -4.3 8
8 AIK 5 2 1 2 +0 -0.4 7
9 Djurgarden 5 2 1 2 +0 -0.1 7
10 Mjallby 5 2 1 2 +0 -0.4 7
11 Brommapojkarna 5 1 2 2 -3 +0.3 5
12 Orgryte 5 1 2 2 -6 -2.5 5
13 Kalmar 6 1 1 4 -3 -0.8 4
14 Goteborg 5 0 3 2 -4 -0.9 3
15 GAIS 5 0 2 3 -4 +0.1 2
16 Halmstad 5 0 2 3 -6 -1.4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Fredrik Klitte · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.