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Allsvenskan

Referee: Adam Ladeback

GAIS

T T T U U

4–0

Full-time

Orgryte

U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GAIS Orgryte

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 70%

60%

80%

Average goals

2,4

3,6

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,6

2,4

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

19 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match GAIS 15. · Orgryte 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	6	5	1	0	+10	+5.9	16
2	Hammarby	6	3	2	1	+11	+4.5	11
3	Hacken	6	2	4	0	+3	+1.6	10
4	Elfsborg	5	3	1	1	+3	+1.8	10
5	Malmo FF	6	3	1	2	+2	+1.3	10
6	Mjallby	6	3	1	2	+1	-1.7	10
7	Degerfors	6	2	2	2	+0	-1.8	8
8	Vasteras SK	6	2	2	2	-4	-5.8	8
9	AIK	5	2	1	2	+0	-0.4	7
10	Djurgarden	5	2	1	2	+0	-0.1	7
11	Brommapojkarna	5	1	2	2	-3	+0.3	5
12	Orgryte	5	1	2	2	-6	-2.5	5
13	Kalmar	6	1	1	4	-3	-0.8	4
14	Goteborg	5	0	3	2	-4	-0.9	3
15	GAIS	5	0	2	3	-4	+0.1	2
16	Halmstad	5	0	2	3	-6	-1.4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	4	3	1	0	+13	+4.4	10
2	Sirius	3	3	0	0	+6	+4.1	9
3	Mjallby	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.4	6
4	Elfsborg	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.4	6
5	AIK	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
6	Hacken	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.3	5
7	Djurgarden	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.1	4
8	Kalmar	3	1	1	1	+0	–	4
9	Degerfors	4	1	1	2	-3	-2.0	4
10	Malmo FF	3	1	0	2	+0	+1.3	3
11	Vasteras SK	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.9	2
12	Orgryte	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.2	2
13	Brommapojkarna	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
14	GAIS	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
15	Goteborg	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.4	1
16	Halmstad	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.8	7
2	Malmo FF	3	2	1	0	+2	–	7
3	Vasteras SK	4	2	0	2	-4	-4.9	6
4	Hacken	3	1	2	0	+2	+0.3	5
5	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.2	4
6	Elfsborg	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.4	4
7	Brommapojkarna	3	1	1	1	-2	-0.2	4
8	Mjallby	3	1	1	1	-2	-1.3	4
9	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
10	Orgryte	2	1	0	1	-5	-3.6	3
11	Goteborg	3	0	2	1	-2	-1.4	2
12	AIK	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.4	1
13	Hammarby	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.1	1
14	GAIS	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.1	1
15	Halmstad	3	0	1	2	-3	–	1
16	Kalmar	3	0	0	3	-3	-0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.