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Allsvenskan

Referee: A Aganovic

Hammarby

S T S T T

2–1

Full-time

Vasteras SK

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Vasteras SK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,5

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,2

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

80%

20%

Both score Ø 40%

60%

20%

Average goals

3,0

1,4

Scored

1,6

0,4

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

12 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hammarby 13. · Vasteras SK 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	6	6	0	0	+17	+6.8	18
2	Halmstad	6	4	0	2	+0	-3.6	12
3	AIK	6	3	2	1	+0	-2.2	11
4	Djurgarden	6	3	1	2	+3	+1.2	10
5	Mjallby	6	3	1	2	+3	+1.0	10
6	Hacken	6	3	1	2	+1	-1.4	10
7	Norrkoping	6	3	1	2	-3	-4.1	10
8	GAIS	6	3	0	3	-3	+0.4	9
9	Brommapojkarna	6	2	2	2	+2	+2.5	8
10	Sirius	6	2	1	3	-1	+2.0	7
11	Goteborg	6	2	1	3	-1	-0.8	7
12	Elfsborg	6	2	1	3	-3	+2.5	7
13	Hammarby	5	2	0	3	+1	+1.0	6
14	Varnamo	6	1	1	4	-8	-4.5	4
15	Vasteras SK	5	1	0	4	-3	+2.3	3
16	Kalmar	6	1	0	5	-5	-2.9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+8	+1.2	9
2	AIK	3	3	0	0	+5	-0.3	9
3	Mjallby	3	2	1	0	+4	+0.7	7
4	Djurgarden	4	2	1	1	+2	-2.1	7
5	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.0	6
6	Hacken	4	2	0	2	+0	-1.4	6
7	Halmstad	3	2	0	1	+0	-0.2	6
8	Norrkoping	3	2	0	1	-1	-3.2	6
9	Elfsborg	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.8	4
10	Sirius	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.0	3
11	Vasteras SK	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.9	3
12	GAIS	2	1	0	1	-3	-0.1	3
13	Brommapojkarna	3	0	2	1	-3	+0.1	2
14	Goteborg	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.2	1
15	Kalmar	3	0	0	3	-3	-1.4	0
16	Varnamo	3	0	0	3	-7	-2.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+9	+5.6	9
2	Brommapojkarna	3	2	0	1	+5	+2.4	6
3	Goteborg	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.4	6
4	GAIS	4	2	0	2	+0	+0.5	6
5	Halmstad	3	2	0	1	+0	-3.4	6
6	Hacken	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
7	Varnamo	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.4	4
8	Norrkoping	3	1	1	1	-2	-0.9	4
9	Sirius	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.0	4
10	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+1	+3.3	3
11	Mjallby	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.3	3
12	Kalmar	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.6	3
13	Elfsborg	3	1	0	2	-4	+0.6	3
14	AIK	3	0	2	1	-5	-1.9	2
15	Vasteras SK	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.4	0
16	Hammarby	3	0	0	3	-4	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.