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Allsvenskan
Elfsborg
S S U S S
2–2
Full-time
Hammarby
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Hammarby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,8
This season — Allsvenskan · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
1,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
47%
47%
Both score Ø 54%
40%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Elfsborg 4. · Hammarby 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 16 10 3 3 +17 33
2 Djurgarden 15 10 3 2 +14 33
3 AIK 15 9 3 3 +9 30
4 Elfsborg 15 9 2 4 +11 29
5 Hammarby 15 6 5 4 +6 23
6 Norrkoping 15 7 2 6 +4 23
7 Kalmar 15 5 6 4 -1 21
8 Hacken 15 5 4 6 +2 19
9 Goteborg 15 4 7 4 +0 19
10 Degerfors 16 5 3 8 -10 18
11 Halmstad 15 3 8 4 -1 17
12 Varberg 15 4 5 6 -5 17
13 Sirius 15 4 4 7 -11 16
14 Orebro 15 3 3 9 -17 12
15 Mjallby 15 2 5 8 -8 11
16 Ostersunds 15 2 3 10 -10 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.