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Allsvenskan
Referee: V Wolf
Hammarby
S T U T S
3–0
Full-time
Elfsborg
S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Elfsborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
This season — Allsvenskan · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 46%
54%
38%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
54%
54%
Both score Ø 47%
31%
62%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

60% Possession 40%
21 Shots 15
11 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 8
6 Corners 5
4 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hammarby 5. · Elfsborg 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Djurgarden 15 9 3 3 +23 30
2 Hacken 13 8 4 1 +9 28
3 Malmo FF 15 8 3 4 +7 27
4 AIK 14 7 4 3 +3 25
5 Hammarby 13 7 3 3 +13 24
6 Kalmar 13 6 3 4 +5 21
7 Elfsborg 13 5 5 3 +11 20
8 Goteborg 13 6 2 5 +1 20
9 Mjallby 13 5 4 4 +1 19
10 Sirius 13 5 3 5 -5 18
11 Norrkoping 14 4 4 6 -1 16
12 Varberg 13 4 2 7 -11 14
13 Varnamo 14 3 4 7 -10 13
14 Sundsvall 13 3 1 9 -17 10
15 Degerfors 13 2 2 9 -17 8
16 Helsingborg 14 1 3 10 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hammarby Elfsborg
1–0 A. Saidi
N. Besara
8′
23′
🟨 Emmanuel Boateng
2–0 G. Ludwigson
N. Besara
45′
Half-time 2–0
55′
🔁 A. Bernhardsson
↦ J. Okkels
64′
🔁 M. Baidoo
↦ E. Boateng
64′
🔁 S. Guðjohnsen
↦ P. Frick
65′
🔁 R. Alm
↦ J. Ondrejka
P. Vagić 🔁
↦ J. Nilsson
67′
3–0 G. Ludwigson
S. Sandberg
74′
A. Demirol 🔁
↦ D. Bojanić
81′
S. Pinas 🔁
↦ A. Saidi
81′
D. Widgren 🔁
↦ Mohanad Jeahze
86′
David Concha 🔁
↦ N. Besara
86′
87′
🔁 N. Söderberg
↦ A. Rømer
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Hammarby

4-3-3
25 D. Blažević G
13 M. Fenger D
2 S. Sandberg D
22 J. Nilsson F
5 Mohanad Jeahze D
21 E. Kurtulus D
20 N. Besara M
6 D. Bojanić M
8 J. Andersen M
40 A. Saidi F
16 G. Ludwigson F
Bench (7)
15 P. Vagić
34 A. Demirol
30 S. Pinas
3 D. Widgren
17 David Concha
27 S. Selin
33 F. Hammar

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Elfsborg

4-3-3
31 T. Rönning G
24 J. Larsson D
20 S. Strand D
15 L. Väisänen D
4 G. Henriksson D
6 A. Rømer M
10 S. Olsson M
26 E. Boateng M
7 J. Ondrejka F
17 P. Frick F
19 J. Okkels F
Bench (7)
12 A. Bernhardsson
13 M. Baidoo
11 S. Guðjohnsen
21 R. Alm
28 N. Söderberg
30 H. Valdimarsson
5 M. Jarjué

Coach: J. Thelin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

V Wolf · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.