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Ekstraklasa

Referee: J Przybyl

Nieciecza

U T S S T

2–1

Full-time

Jagiellonia

U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nieciecza Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 17/15 matches

Win Ø 39%

24%

53%

Points per game

0,9

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

53%

67%

Both score Ø 63%

65%

60%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,54 xG 0,92

27% Possession 73%

6 Shots 17

1 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 10

18 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nieciecza 18. · Jagiellonia 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	18	9	3	6	+5	-3.6	30
2	Wisla Plock	17	7	8	2	+9	+3.2	29
3	Jagiellonia	15	8	4	3	+9	-2.2	28
4	Radomiak Radom	18	7	5	6	+5	+0.9	26
5	Cracovia	17	7	5	5	+4	+2.1	26
6	Rakow	16	8	2	6	+3	+3.5	26
7	Zaglebie	17	6	7	4	+6	-0.9	25
8	Lech Poznan	16	6	7	3	+3	+11.1	25
9	Lechia Gdansk	18	7	4	7	+0	-0.1	25
10	Korona Kielce	17	6	5	6	+2	-0.6	23
11	Pogon Szczecin	18	6	3	9	-4	+7.9	21
12	Arka Gdynia	18	6	3	9	-17	-6.4	21
13	Widzew Lodz	18	6	2	10	-2	+2.7	20
14	GKS Katowice	16	6	2	8	-4	-7.2	20
15	Motor Lublin	17	4	8	5	-5	-2.4	20
16	Legia	17	4	7	6	-1	+1.0	19
17	Piast Gliwice	16	4	5	7	-1	-5.2	17
18	Nieciecza	17	4	4	9	-12	-3.8	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	10	6	3	1	+9	+5.0	21
2	Radomiak Radom	9	6	2	1	+15	+5.4	20
3	Arka Gdynia	9	6	2	1	+4	-3.3	20
4	Zaglebie	9	5	4	0	+13	+4.1	19
5	Gornik Zabrze	9	6	1	2	+10	+2.1	19
6	Lechia Gdansk	9	5	2	2	+9	+2.4	17
7	Pogon Szczecin	9	5	1	3	+6	+8.3	16
8	Jagiellonia	7	5	0	2	+7	+0.6	15
9	Cracovia	8	4	3	1	+5	+5.0	15
10	Widzew Lodz	9	4	2	3	+3	+2.3	14
11	Legia	8	3	4	1	+5	+0.6	13
12	Korona Kielce	8	4	1	3	+3	+1.6	13
13	Lech Poznan	9	3	4	2	+1	+6.6	13
14	GKS Katowice	9	4	1	4	+0	-3.5	13
15	Motor Lublin	8	2	5	1	+1	+4.2	11
16	Piast Gliwice	8	2	3	3	+0	-1.1	9
17	Rakow	7	2	2	3	-1	+1.4	8
18	Nieciecza	8	1	2	5	-8	-1.9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	9	6	0	3	+4	+2.1	18
2	Jagiellonia	8	3	4	1	+2	-2.8	13
3	Lech Poznan	7	3	3	1	+2	+4.5	12
4	Cracovia	9	3	2	4	-1	-2.8	11
5	Nieciecza	9	3	2	4	-4	-1.9	11
6	Gornik Zabrze	9	3	2	4	-5	-5.8	11
7	Korona Kielce	9	2	4	3	-1	-2.2	10
8	Motor Lublin	9	2	3	4	-6	-6.6	9
9	Wisla Plock	7	1	5	1	+0	-1.8	8
10	Piast Gliwice	8	2	2	4	-1	-4.1	8
11	Lechia Gdansk	9	2	2	5	-9	-2.5	8
12	GKS Katowice	7	2	1	4	-4	-3.7	7
13	Widzew Lodz	9	2	0	7	-5	+0.5	6
14	Legia	9	1	3	5	-6	+0.4	6
15	Zaglebie	8	1	3	4	-7	-5.0	6
16	Radomiak Radom	9	1	3	5	-10	-4.5	6
17	Pogon Szczecin	9	1	2	6	-10	-0.4	5
18	Arka Gdynia	9	0	1	8	-21	-3.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.