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Superligaen
Referee: J Sundberg
Silkeborg
S S T T U
0–2
Full-time
Aarhus
U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Silkeborg Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 47%
33%
60%
Points per game
1,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 70%
67%
73%
Average goals
3,4
3,1
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,84 xG 2,37
59% Possession 41%
7 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 11
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Silkeborg 8. · Aarhus 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 15 9 5 1 +22 +2.1 32
2 Brondby 15 10 1 4 +14 +9.9 31
3 Aarhus 15 9 4 2 +13 +13.0 31
4 FC Copenhagen 15 7 4 4 +7 +12.2 25
5 Sonderjyske 15 6 4 5 +2 -1.9 22
6 Viborg 15 6 1 8 -1 -3.4 19
7 Odense 15 5 4 6 -10 +3.9 19
8 Silkeborg 15 5 3 7 -7 -9.0 18
9 Nordsjaelland 15 6 0 9 -7 -3.0 18
10 Randers FC 15 5 2 8 -6 +0.5 17
11 Fredericia 15 3 2 10 -17 -13.8 11
12 Vejle 15 2 4 9 -10 -10.4 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Silkeborg Aarhus
34′
R. Carstensen 0–1
Half-time 0–1
52′
🔁 O. Haugstrup
↦ K. Yakob
C. McCowatt 🔁
↦ Y. Bakiz
64′
69′
🔁 J. Serra
↦ P. Mortensen
69′
🔁 T. Kristjansson
↦ S. Jorgensen
A. Simmelhack 🔁
↦ R. Al Hajj
70′
J. Andersen 🔁
↦ M. Freundlich
70′
79′
M. Solbakken 0–2
82′
🔁 S. Tchamche
↦ T. Bech
82′
🔁 J. Jensen-Abbew
↦ R. Carstensen
L. Montano 🔁
↦ A. Poulsen
83′
J. Nielsen 🔁
↦ V. Westh
83′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Silkeborg

4-3-2-1
1 N. Larsen G
19 J. Gammelby D
3 R. Ostrom D
4 P. Ganchas D
2 A. Poulsen D
7 V. Westh M
33 M. Freundlich M
20 M. Larsen M
10 Y. Bakiz M
22 R. Al Hajj M
23 T. Adamsen F
Bench (8)
30 A. Andresen
9 A. Simmelhack
8 J. Andersen
17 C. McCowatt
18 L. Montano
21 B. Clemmensen
36 J. Nielsen
41 O. Boesen

Coach: Kent Nielsen

Aarhus

3-4-3
1 J. Hansen G
2 F. Beijmo D
3 H. Dalsgaard D
19 E. Kahl D
29 R. Carstensen M
7 M. Solbakken M
17 K. Yakob M
11 G. Links M
8 S. Jorgensen F
9 P. Mortensen F
31 T. Bech F
Bench (9)
22 L. Wahlstedt
6 N. Poulsen
13 J. Serra
27 S. Tchamche
39 F. Emmery
40 J. Jensen-Abbew
20 T. Kristjansson
42 C. Storch
43 O. Haugstrup

Coach: Jakob Poulsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Sundberg · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.