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Süper Lig

Referee: Ali Yilmaz

Genclerbirligi

T T S T T

3–0

Full-time

Karagumruk

U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genclerbirligi Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 18%

21%

14%

Points per game

0,8

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

57%

43%

Both score Ø 54%

64%

43%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

1,5

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,16 xG 0,42

40% Possession 60%

19 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genclerbirligi 17. · Karagumruk 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	15	11	3	1	+21	+16.2	36
2	Fenerbahce	15	9	6	0	+18	+18.5	33
3	Trabzonspor	14	9	4	1	+13	+2.3	31
4	Goztep	14	7	5	2	+10	+3.6	26
5	Samsunspor	15	6	7	2	+6	+7.8	25
6	Besiktas	14	7	3	4	+7	+13.3	24
7	Gaziantep	14	6	4	4	-1	+0.4	22
8	Kocaelispor	14	5	3	6	-3	-2.1	18
9	Buyuksehyr	15	4	5	6	+3	-1.9	17
10	Alanyaspor	14	3	7	4	-1	-4.8	16
11	Konyaspor	15	4	4	7	-4	-2.7	16
12	Rizespor	15	3	6	6	-6	-1.6	15
13	Antalyaspor	14	4	2	8	-11	-9.8	14
14	Kasimpasa	14	3	4	7	-7	-7.3	13
15	Eyüpspor	15	3	4	8	-8	-3.5	13
16	Kayserispor	15	2	7	6	-17	-9.9	13
17	Genclerbirligi	14	3	2	9	-7	-9.4	11
18	Karagumruk	14	2	2	10	-13	-9.2	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	8	6	2	0	+11	+9.0	20
2	Trabzonspor	8	5	3	0	+10	+6.1	18
3	Fenerbahce	7	5	2	0	+8	+13.2	17
4	Kocaelispor	7	4	2	1	+4	+4.0	14
5	Samsunspor	8	3	4	1	+2	+6.7	13
6	Goztep	6	3	3	0	+5	+2.1	12
7	Gaziantep	8	3	2	3	-4	+1.9	11
8	Besiktas	6	3	1	2	+2	+5.6	10
9	Eyüpspor	8	2	3	3	-3	-0.6	9
10	Alanyaspor	6	2	2	2	+1	-1.4	8
11	Konyaspor	8	2	2	4	-2	+0.4	8
12	Buyuksehyr	7	1	4	2	-1	-1.4	7
13	Genclerbirligi	6	2	1	3	-2	+1.3	7
14	Rizespor	8	2	1	5	-7	+2.4	7
15	Kayserispor	7	1	2	4	-12	-3.5	5
16	Karagumruk	8	1	1	6	-8	-3.8	4
17	Antalyaspor	7	1	1	5	-10	-3.1	4
18	Kasimpasa	7	0	3	4	-6	-1.8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	8	4	4	0	+10	+5.3	16
2	Galatasaray	7	5	1	1	+10	+7.2	16
3	Besiktas	8	4	2	2	+5	+7.7	14
4	Goztep	8	4	2	2	+5	+1.5	14
5	Trabzonspor	6	4	1	1	+3	-3.8	13
6	Samsunspor	7	3	3	1	+4	+1.1	12
7	Gaziantep	6	3	2	1	+3	-1.6	11
8	Buyuksehyr	8	3	1	4	+4	-0.4	10
9	Kasimpasa	7	3	1	3	-1	-5.5	10
10	Antalyaspor	7	3	1	3	-1	-6.6	10
11	Rizespor	7	1	5	1	+1	-4.0	8
12	Alanyaspor	8	1	5	2	-2	-3.4	8
13	Konyaspor	7	2	2	3	-2	-3.1	8
14	Kayserispor	8	1	5	2	-5	-6.4	8
15	Genclerbirligi	8	1	1	6	-5	-10.8	4
16	Karagumruk	6	1	1	4	-5	-5.4	4
17	Eyüpspor	7	1	1	5	-5	-2.9	4
18	Kocaelispor	7	1	1	5	-7	-6.1	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.