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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
Utrecht
U S U T U
1–1
Full-time
Twente
S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 13/14 matches
Win Ø 41%
46%
36%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
62%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
62%
64%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
1,8
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,82 xG 1,54
37% Possession 63%
12 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 8
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 7. · Twente 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 15 13 1 1 +29 +13.8 40
2 Feyenoord 15 11 1 3 +23 +21.4 34
3 Nijmegen 14 7 3 4 +13 +5.9 24
4 AZ Alkmaar 14 7 3 4 +4 +8.5 24
5 Ajax 14 6 5 3 +6 +1.1 23
6 Groningen 14 7 2 5 +2 +7.0 23
7 Utrecht 13 6 2 5 +6 -1.5 20
8 Twente 14 5 5 4 +3 +10.8 20
9 For Sittard 15 5 3 7 -4 -3.9 18
10 Go Ahead Eagles 14 4 5 5 -1 -6.4 17
11 Sparta Rotterdam 14 5 2 7 -12 -5.9 17
12 Heerenveen 14 4 4 6 -3 +10.5 16
13 Excelsior 15 5 1 9 -12 -11.1 16
14 Zwolle 15 4 4 7 -17 -14.8 16
15 Volendam 14 3 5 6 -7 -11.2 14
16 Heracles 15 4 2 9 -14 -10.2 14
17 NAC Breda 14 3 3 8 -8 -6.3 12
18 Telstar 15 2 5 8 -8 -7.8 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht Twente
24′
🟨 Daan Rots
Half-time 1–0
1–0 V. Jensen
52′
N. Ohio 🔁
↦ V. Jensen
61′
67′
🔁 R. van Wolfswinkel
↦ S. Lammers
75′
🔁 M. Pjaca
↦ R. Zerrouki
82′
M. Rots 1–1
T. van den Belt
N. Vesterlund 🔁
↦ D. de Wit
83′
E. Demircan 🔁
↦ Y. Cathline
89′
Nick Viergever 🟨
93′
95′
🟨 Sondre Ørjasæter
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-2-3-1
1 V. Barkas G
2 S. Horemans D
3 M. van der Hoorn D
24 N. Viergever D
16 S. El Karouani D
27 A. Engwanda M
21 G. Zechiel M
22 M. Rodriguez M
7 V. Jensen M
10 Y. Cathline M
20 D. de Wit F
Bench (11)
25 M. Brouwer
51 M. Eppink
5 K. Finnsson
8 C. Bozdogan
11 N. Ohio
17 E. Demircan
23 N. Vesterlund
26 M. Jonathans
40 M. Didden
44 M. Eerdhuijzen
91 S. Haller

Coach: Ron Jans

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
28 B. van Rooij D
23 S. Lemkin D
3 R. Propper D
39 M. Rots D
6 R. Zerrouki M
20 T. van den Belt M
11 D. Rots M
14 K. Hlynsson M
27 S. Orjasaeter M
10 S. Lammers F
Bench (11)
22 P. Tyton
21 S. Karssies
4 M. Kjolo
5 B. Kuipers
7 M. Pjaca
9 R. van Wolfswinkel
12 G. Peixoto
25 L. Vennegoor of Hesselink
32 A. Verschueren
33 B. Titulaer
43 R. Nijstad

Coach: John Antonius van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,44
U ✓
3,45
B
2,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,73
U2,5 ✓
2,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.