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LaLiga2
Referee: Carlos Muniz Munoz
Granada
S U U S S
1–1
Full-time
Ceuta
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Ceuta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 35%
25%
44%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
44%
Both score Ø 47%
56%
38%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
6 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Granada 14. · Ceuta 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 17 11 2 4 +15 +0.2 35
2 La Coruna 17 9 5 3 +15 +2.8 32
3 Almeria 17 9 5 3 +11 +0.4 32
4 Las Palmas 16 8 5 3 +8 +0.4 29
5 Castellon 17 8 4 5 +6 +3.2 28
6 Burgos 16 7 4 5 +6 +1.5 25
7 Valladolid 17 6 6 5 +5 +3.9 24
8 Sp Gijon 17 7 3 7 -2 +0.0 24
9 Cadiz 17 6 6 5 -2 -0.8 24
10 Ceuta 16 7 3 6 -3 -3.2 24
11 Cultural Leonesa 17 7 2 8 -2 -5.8 23
12 Cordoba 17 5 7 5 -1 +0.6 22
13 Malaga 16 5 4 7 -1 -1.3 19
14 Granada 16 4 7 5 -2 +0.9 19
15 Leganes 17 4 7 6 -2 +1.4 19
16 Albacete 16 5 4 7 -5 -0.7 19
17 Huesca 17 5 4 8 -8 +1.3 19
18 Sociedad B 17 5 3 9 -3 +0.7 18
19 Andorra 17 4 6 7 -7 -1.3 18
20 Eibar 17 4 5 8 -6 +0.1 17
21 Mirandes 16 4 3 9 -9 -0.9 15
22 Zaragoza 16 4 3 9 -13 -3.5 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Granada Ceuta
1–0 P. Aleman
S. Faye
19′
Pedro Alemañ 🟨
34′
Oscar Naasei 🟨
39′
40′
C. Rodriguez 1–1
Half-time 1–1
P. Casadesus 🔁
↦ O. Oppong
57′
62′
🟨 Marcos Fernández
68′
🟨 Yann Bodiger
M. Trigueros 🔁
↦ R. Alcaraz
74′
79′
🔁 K. Zalazar
↦ K. de la Fuente
M. Bouldini 🔁
↦ J. M. Arnaiz
83′
L. Gagnidze 🔁
↦ P. Aleman
83′
87′
🔁 Youness
↦ Jamelli
93′
🔁 C. Redruello Nimo
↦ A. Ahmed
93′
🔁 Josema
↦ C. Rodriguez
93′
🔁 S. Sanchez
↦ K. Kone
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Granada

4-3-3
1 L. Zidane G
28 O. Oppong D
5 M. Lama D
24 L. Williams D
22 B. Diallo D
8 P. Aleman M
4 R. Alcaraz M
11 J. M. Arnaiz M
7 A. Sola F
19 J. Pascual F
17 S. Faye F
Bench (8)
13 A. Astralaga
34 I. Garcia
2 P. Casadesus
3 D. Hormigo
10 M. Bouldini
14 M. Trigueros
23 L. Gagnidze
26 S. Rodelas

Coach: José Rojo Martín

Ceuta

4-3-3
13 G. Vallejo G
7 A. Ahmed D
6 C. Hernandez D
15 D. Gonzalez D
3 Matos Jose D
19 Jamelli M
14 Y. Bodiger M
10 C. Rodriguez M
18 K. de la Fuente F
9 M. Fernandez Sanchez F
22 K. Kone F
Bench (12)
1 P. Lopez
16 C. Redruello Nimo
17 G. Almenara
24 Y. Cantero
4 A. Caparros
30 Josema
8 K. Zalazar
25 S. Sanchez
5 Youness
12 S. Obeng
20 A. Escudero
11 J. Ortuno

Coach: Antonio José Poveda Sánchez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,99
U ✓
3,21
B
3,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,18
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos Muniz Munoz · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.