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Superligaen

Referee: J Kehlet

Midtjylland

U T S T T

2–1

Full-time

Nordsjaelland

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Nordsjaelland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 53%

58%

47%

Points per game

1,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

53%

68%

Both score Ø 66%

53%

79%

Average goals

2,9

3,5

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,72 xG 2,03

48% Possession 52%

19 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 4

4 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Midtjylland 2. · Nordsjaelland 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	19	11	6	2	+15	+10.1	39
2	Midtjylland	19	11	3	5	+9	+1.8	36
3	Aarhus	20	9	8	3	+20	+7.7	35
4	Randers FC	20	8	8	4	+11	+9.5	32
5	Silkeborg	20	8	8	4	+10	+2.0	32
6	Nordsjaelland	19	9	5	5	+3	+6.7	32
7	Brondby	19	8	7	4	+12	+7.9	31
8	Viborg	20	6	6	8	-2	-6.0	24
9	Aalborg	19	4	5	10	-18	-14.9	17
10	Sonderjyske	20	4	4	12	-22	-12.8	16
11	Lyngby	19	1	8	10	-13	-4.0	11
12	Vejle	20	2	4	14	-25	-8.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	10	7	3	0	+11	+7.0	24
2	Midtjylland	9	8	0	1	+8	+4.5	24
3	Aarhus	10	6	4	0	+16	+6.1	22
4	Nordsjaelland	10	6	4	0	+10	+5.9	22
5	Brondby	9	5	3	1	+8	+4.4	18
6	Viborg	10	5	2	3	+2	-4.5	17
7	Silkeborg	10	4	4	2	+3	-0.7	16
8	Randers FC	10	4	3	3	+5	+6.0	15
9	Aalborg	9	3	2	4	-6	-5.4	11
10	Sonderjyske	10	2	3	5	-11	-7.8	9
11	Lyngby	10	1	5	4	-6	-0.6	8
12	Vejle	10	1	3	6	-11	-0.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Randers FC	10	4	5	1	+6	+3.4	17
2	Silkeborg	10	4	4	2	+7	+2.6	16
3	FC Copenhagen	9	4	3	2	+4	+3.1	15
4	Brondby	10	3	4	3	+4	+3.4	13
5	Aarhus	10	3	4	3	+4	+1.7	13
6	Midtjylland	10	3	3	4	+1	-2.7	12
7	Nordsjaelland	9	3	1	5	-7	+0.8	10
8	Viborg	10	1	4	5	-4	-1.5	7
9	Sonderjyske	10	2	1	7	-11	-5.0	7
10	Aalborg	10	1	3	6	-12	-9.5	6
11	Vejle	10	1	1	8	-14	-7.5	4
12	Lyngby	9	0	3	6	-7	-3.3	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.