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Superligaen

Referee: J Karlsen

Aalborg

U T U T T

1–2

Full-time

Nordsjaelland

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalborg Nordsjaelland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 33%

22%

44%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

61%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

39%

78%

Average goals

2,9

3,6

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,9

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,03 xG 3,02

42% Possession 58%

13 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aalborg 9. · Nordsjaelland 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	19	11	6	2	+15	+10.1	39
2	Midtjylland	19	11	3	5	+9	+1.8	36
3	Aarhus	19	9	7	3	+20	+7.7	34
4	Brondby	19	8	7	4	+12	+7.9	31
5	Randers FC	19	8	7	4	+11	+9.5	31
6	Silkeborg	19	7	8	4	+8	+1.0	29
7	Nordsjaelland	18	8	5	5	+2	+5.8	29
8	Viborg	19	5	6	8	-4	-5.9	21
9	Aalborg	18	4	5	9	-17	-13.9	17
10	Sonderjyske	19	4	4	11	-20	-11.8	16
11	Lyngby	19	1	8	10	-13	-4.0	11
12	Vejle	19	2	4	13	-23	-8.2	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	10	7	3	0	+11	+7.0	24
2	Midtjylland	9	8	0	1	+8	+4.5	24
3	Aarhus	10	6	4	0	+16	+6.1	22
4	Nordsjaelland	10	6	4	0	+10	+5.9	22
5	Brondby	9	5	3	1	+8	+4.4	18
6	Silkeborg	10	4	4	2	+3	-0.7	16
7	Randers FC	9	4	2	3	+5	+6.0	14
8	Viborg	9	4	2	3	+0	-4.4	14
9	Aalborg	8	3	2	3	-5	-4.4	11
10	Sonderjyske	9	2	3	4	-9	-6.8	9
11	Lyngby	10	1	5	4	-6	-0.6	8
12	Vejle	10	1	3	6	-11	-0.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Randers FC	10	4	5	1	+6	+3.4	17
2	FC Copenhagen	9	4	3	2	+4	+3.1	15
3	Silkeborg	9	3	4	2	+5	+1.7	13
4	Brondby	10	3	4	3	+4	+3.4	13
5	Aarhus	9	3	3	3	+4	+1.7	12
6	Midtjylland	10	3	3	4	+1	-2.7	12
7	Viborg	10	1	4	5	-4	-1.5	7
8	Nordsjaelland	8	2	1	5	-8	-0.2	7
9	Sonderjyske	10	2	1	7	-11	-5.0	7
10	Aalborg	10	1	3	6	-12	-9.5	6
11	Vejle	9	1	1	7	-12	-7.5	4
12	Lyngby	9	0	3	6	-7	-3.3	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.