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Superligaen
Referee: Jacob Karlsen
Midtjylland
U T U S S
1–1
Full-time
Aalborg
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Aalborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Superligaen · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
46%
50%
Both score Ø 56%
58%
54%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
18 Shots 16
9 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 8
6 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Midtjylland 6. · Aalborg 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 24 13 7 4 +18 46
2 FC Copenhagen 24 14 3 7 +23 45
3 Viborg 24 11 7 6 +9 40
4 Aarhus 24 11 6 7 +7 39
5 Randers FC 24 9 9 6 -1 36
6 Midtjylland 24 8 10 6 +6 34
7 Odense 24 8 7 9 -12 31
8 Silkeborg 24 8 6 10 -2 30
9 Brondby 24 8 6 10 -6 30
10 Horsens 24 7 5 12 -14 26
11 Aalborg 24 4 6 14 -12 18
12 Lyngby 24 3 8 13 -16 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Midtjylland Aalborg
Mads Thychosen 🟨
33′
42′
Allan Sousa 0–1
D. Granli
Half-time 0–1
A. Şimşir 🔁
↦ E. Martínez
57′
Paulinho 🔁
↦ M. Thychosen
57′
Júnior Brumado 🔁
↦ F. Heiselberg
57′
Juninho 🟨
59′
62′
🔁 Pedro Ferreira
↦ Y. Bakiz
62′
🔁 L. Andersen
↦ L. Prip
E. Chilufya 🔁
↦ O. Sørensen
75′
78′
🟨 Rasmus Thelander
1–1 G. Isaksen
A. Şimşir
82′
87′
🟨 Pedro Ferreira
88′
🔁 M. Ramkilde
↦ N. Helenius
93′
🟨 Iver Fossum
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Midtjylland

4-3-1-2
1 J. Lössl G
14 H. Dalsgaard D
4 S. Gartenmann D
73 Juninho D
17 M. Thychosen D
24 O. Sørensen M
5 E. Martínez M
37 A. Gigović M
8 K. Olsson M
47 F. Heiselberg F
11 G. Isaksen F
Bench (9)
58 A. Şimşir
29 Paulinho
74 Júnior Brumado
18 E. Chilufya
20 V. Byskov
16 E. Ólafsson
55 V. Bak
35 Charles
10 Emam Ashour

Coach: T. Thomasberg

Aalborg

4-3-3
40 N. Mantl G
2 K. Pallesen D
4 L. Kramer D
26 R. Thelander D
5 D. Granli D
23 Y. Bakiz M
14 M. Højholt M
8 I. Fossum M
18 L. Prip F
17 N. Helenius F
7 Allan Sousa F
Bench (9)
6 Pedro Ferreira
10 L. Andersen
29 M. Ramkilde
38 O. Ross
22 T. Sander
34 S. Otoa
32 K. Ludewig
24 J. Skulstad
19 A. Ementa

Coach: O. Hiljemark

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jacob Karlsen · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.