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Superligaen

Referee: J Burchardt

Aarhus

T T T T T

3–2

Full-time

FC Copenhagen

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus FC Copenhagen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

2,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 45%

30%

60%

Points per game

1,3

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

43%

70%

Both score Ø 59%

60%

57%

Average goals

2,6

3,2

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

46% Possession 54%

13 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 11

6 Blocked shots 0

9 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 5. · FC Copenhagen 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	31	18	8	5	+26	+6.5	62
2	Midtjylland	31	19	5	7	+19	+9.8	62
3	FC Copenhagen	30	18	4	8	+27	+18.9	58
4	Nordsjaelland	31	16	9	6	+26	+5.7	57
5	Aarhus	30	9	11	10	-6	+5.0	38
6	Randers FC	31	9	11	11	-9	+0.5	38
7	Viborg	31	10	7	14	-11	-2.8	37
8	Vejle	31	9	9	13	-3	-17.5	36
9	Silkeborg	31	10	5	16	-11	+5.7	35
10	Lyngby	31	9	8	14	-14	-6.7	35
11	Odense	31	8	8	15	-10	-6.9	32
12	Hvidovre IF	31	4	7	20	-34	-18.2	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nordsjaelland	16	9	6	1	+20	+6.9	33
2	Midtjylland	15	10	3	2	+16	+9.1	33
3	Brondby	15	9	3	3	+13	+7.1	30
4	FC Copenhagen	15	9	1	5	+14	+15.0	28
5	Lyngby	16	6	7	3	+6	+0.2	25
6	Viborg	15	7	4	4	+5	-1.2	25
7	Vejle	16	6	4	6	+3	-4.4	22
8	Silkeborg	16	6	3	7	+0	+8.1	21
9	Randers FC	15	5	6	4	-1	+3.5	21
10	Aarhus	15	5	4	6	-4	+4.3	19
11	Odense	16	1	3	12	-17	-3.3	6
12	Hvidovre IF	15	1	2	12	-22	-5.3	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	16	9	5	2	+13	-0.6	32
2	FC Copenhagen	15	9	3	3	+13	+4.0	30
3	Midtjylland	16	9	2	5	+3	+0.7	29
4	Odense	15	7	5	3	+7	-3.6	26
5	Nordsjaelland	15	7	3	5	+6	-1.2	24
6	Aarhus	15	4	7	4	-2	+0.7	19
7	Randers FC	16	4	5	7	-8	-3.0	17
8	Vejle	15	3	5	7	-6	-13.1	14
9	Silkeborg	15	4	2	9	-11	-2.4	14
10	Hvidovre IF	16	3	5	8	-12	-13.0	14
11	Viborg	16	3	3	10	-16	-1.6	12
12	Lyngby	15	3	1	11	-20	-6.9	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.