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Superligaen

Referee: M Kristoffersen

Midtjylland

T S S S S

2–3

Full-time

Nordsjaelland

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Nordsjaelland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

2,3

1,8

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 57%

68%

45%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

59%

45%

Both score Ø 53%

55%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,6

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,45 xG 1,42

51% Possession 49%

19 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

9 Corners 5

1 Offside 6

8 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Midtjylland 2. · Nordsjaelland 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	23	15	5	3	+25	+6.7	50
2	Midtjylland	22	15	3	4	+20	+12.1	48
3	FC Copenhagen	23	14	3	6	+21	+16.8	45
4	Nordsjaelland	22	10	7	5	+14	+6.0	37
5	Aarhus	22	9	9	4	+5	+3.7	36
6	Silkeborg	22	8	3	11	-4	+6.3	27
7	Randers FC	23	6	8	9	-10	-0.3	26
8	Viborg	23	7	5	11	-11	-5.2	26
9	Odense	22	6	6	10	-7	-6.0	24
10	Lyngby	23	6	5	12	-16	-5.8	23
11	Vejle	22	4	7	11	-7	-17.8	19
12	Hvidovre IF	23	2	5	16	-30	-16.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	11	8	2	1	+15	+8.1	26
2	Brondby	11	7	2	2	+13	+7.1	23
3	FC Copenhagen	12	7	1	4	+12	+12.8	22
4	Nordsjaelland	11	6	4	1	+11	+5.7	22
5	Viborg	12	6	3	3	+5	-1.2	21
6	Aarhus	11	5	3	3	+0	+3.0	18
7	Silkeborg	11	5	2	4	+3	+7.4	17
8	Lyngby	11	4	4	3	+3	+1.2	16
9	Randers FC	12	4	4	4	-2	+3.5	16
10	Vejle	11	3	3	5	+0	-4.7	12
11	Odense	11	0	3	8	-14	-1.9	3
12	Hvidovre IF	11	0	2	9	-19	-4.8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	12	8	3	1	+12	-0.4	27
2	FC Copenhagen	11	7	2	2	+9	+4.0	23
3	Midtjylland	11	7	1	3	+5	+4.0	22
4	Odense	11	6	3	2	+7	-4.0	21
5	Aarhus	11	4	6	1	+5	+0.7	18
6	Nordsjaelland	11	4	3	4	+3	+0.3	15
7	Silkeborg	11	3	1	7	-7	-1.0	10
8	Randers FC	11	2	4	5	-8	-3.9	10
9	Hvidovre IF	12	2	3	7	-11	-11.7	9
10	Vejle	11	1	4	6	-7	-13.1	7
11	Lyngby	12	2	1	9	-19	-6.9	7
12	Viborg	11	1	2	8	-16	-4.0	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.