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Superligaen

Referee: M Kristoffersen

Aarhus

S S U T S

2–2

Full-time

Brondby

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Brondby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 51%

38%

63%

Points per game

1,5

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 56%

54%

58%

Average goals

2,2

2,9

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%

9 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 5. · Brondby 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	24	15	6	3	+25	+6.7	51
2	Midtjylland	24	16	3	5	+20	+13.2	51
3	FC Copenhagen	24	14	3	7	+20	+16.8	45
4	Nordsjaelland	24	12	7	5	+16	+4.9	43
5	Aarhus	24	9	10	5	+4	+3.6	37
6	Randers FC	25	8	8	9	-7	+0.6	32
7	Viborg	25	8	6	11	-9	-3.7	30
8	Silkeborg	24	8	5	11	-4	+6.4	29
9	Odense	25	6	7	12	-10	-7.4	25
10	Lyngby	25	6	7	12	-16	-5.8	25
11	Vejle	25	5	8	12	-7	-18.7	23
12	Hvidovre IF	25	2	6	17	-32	-16.6	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	12	8	2	2	+14	+9.1	26
2	Nordsjaelland	12	7	4	1	+12	+5.7	25
3	Brondby	12	7	3	2	+13	+7.1	24
4	FC Copenhagen	12	7	1	4	+12	+12.8	22
5	Viborg	12	6	3	3	+5	-1.2	21
6	Lyngby	13	4	6	3	+3	+1.2	18
7	Silkeborg	12	5	3	4	+3	+7.4	18
8	Aarhus	12	5	3	4	-1	+3.0	18
9	Randers FC	12	4	4	4	-2	+3.5	16
10	Vejle	13	3	4	6	-1	-5.6	13
11	Odense	13	0	3	10	-17	-3.4	3
12	Hvidovre IF	12	0	2	10	-21	-4.8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	12	8	3	1	+12	-0.4	27
2	Midtjylland	12	8	1	3	+6	+4.0	25
3	FC Copenhagen	12	7	2	3	+8	+4.0	23
4	Odense	12	6	4	2	+7	-4.0	22
5	Aarhus	12	4	7	1	+5	+0.7	19
6	Nordsjaelland	12	5	3	4	+4	-0.7	18
7	Randers FC	13	4	4	5	-5	-2.9	16
8	Silkeborg	12	3	2	7	-7	-1.0	11
9	Vejle	12	2	4	6	-6	-13.1	10
10	Hvidovre IF	13	2	4	7	-11	-11.7	10
11	Viborg	13	2	3	8	-14	-2.6	9
12	Lyngby	12	2	1	9	-19	-6.9	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.