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Superligaen
Referee: J Burchardt
Lyngby
U S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Nordsjaelland
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyngby Nordsjaelland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,3
3,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,59 xG 2,46
29% Possession 71%
7 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 10
2 Offside 5
18 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lyngby 9. · Nordsjaelland 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 6 5 0 1 +13 +1.1 15
2 FC Copenhagen 6 5 0 1 +7 +4.1 15
3 Brondby 6 4 0 2 +3 +1.3 12
4 Aarhus 6 3 2 1 +2 +3.4 11
5 Silkeborg 6 3 1 2 +2 +4.5 10
6 Midtjylland 6 3 0 3 -3 +0.6 9
7 Odense 7 2 2 3 +2 -1.6 8
8 Viborg 6 2 2 2 -2 +2.2 8
9 Lyngby 6 2 1 3 -1 -0.2 7
10 Randers FC 6 1 2 3 -9 -1.3 5
11 Vejle 7 1 0 6 -5 -9.6 3
12 Hvidovre IF 6 0 2 4 -9 -4.6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lyngby Nordsjaelland
-5′
🟨 Martin Frese
1–0 A. Guðjohnsen
W. Kumado
31′
Willy Kumado 🟨
37′
Half-time 1–0
T. Storm 🔁
↦ W. Kumado
46′
59′
🔁 A. Schjelderup
↦ O. Antman
R. Çorlu 🔁
↦ A. Guðjohnsen
69′
74′
🔁 C. Harder
↦ M. Ingvartsen
74′
🔁 C. Rasmussen
↦ M. Diomandé
Marcel Rømer 🟨
76′
Muniesa 🔁
↦ M. Jensen
76′
Andreas Bjelland 🟨
77′
82′
🟨 Conrad Harder
J. Amon 🔁
↦ F. Gytkjær
87′
C. Winther 🔁
↦ M. Rømer
87′
87′
🔁 L. Hey
↦ M. Frese
88′
🔁 M. Dorgeles
↦ O. Villadsen
Kolbeinn Finnsson 🟨
92′
96′
K. Hansen 1–1
J. Tverskov
Tochi Chukwuani 🟨
99′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lyngby

3-5-2
1 M. Kikkenborg G
23 P. Gregor D
6 A. Bjelland D
12 M. Jensen D
7 W. Kumado M
21 S. Magnússon M
30 M. Rømer M
42 T. Chukwuani M
20 K. Finnsson M
26 F. Gytkjær F
22 A. Guðjohnsen F
Bench (9)
24 T. Storm
10 R. Çorlu
5 Muniesa
17 J. Amon
13 C. Winther
8 P. Bizoza
3 B. Hamalainen
25 G. Mortensen
32 J. Storch

Coach: F. Alexandersson

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
13 A. Hansen G
23 O. Villadsen D
4 K. Hansen D
39 A. Nagalo D
5 M. Frese D
10 M. Diomandé M
6 J. Tverskov M
27 D. Svensson M
22 O. Antman F
7 M. Ingvartsen F
14 I. Osman F
Bench (9)
8 A. Schjelderup
40 C. Harder
17 C. Rasmussen
19 L. Hey
29 M. Dorgeles
21 Z. Sertdemir
30 J. Jensen-Abbew
25 C. Eriksson
9 B. Nygren

Coach: J. Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Burchardt · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.