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LaLiga2

Referee: M Perez

Castellon

U U S S U

3–1

Full-time

Burgos

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Burgos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,2

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 48%

46%

49%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

49%

34%

Both score Ø 49%

57%

40%

Average goals

2,9

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,01 xG 1,36

64% Possession 36%

14 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 1

3 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 15

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Castellon 7. · Burgos 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	36	21	5	10	+20	-1.1	68
2	Almeria	35	18	7	10	+15	+1.6	61
3	La Coruna	35	17	10	8	+15	+2.4	61
4	Malaga	35	17	9	9	+17	+6.3	60
5	Las Palmas	36	16	12	8	+17	+2.4	60
6	Burgos	35	17	9	9	+13	+4.8	60
7	Castellon	35	16	10	9	+15	+5.3	58
8	Eibar	35	15	10	10	+9	+7.4	55
9	Ceuta	36	14	8	14	-13	-14.8	50
10	Andorra	35	13	10	12	+4	+2.0	49
11	Sp Gijon	35	14	7	14	+1	+2.5	49
12	Cordoba	35	13	9	13	-5	+3.7	48
13	Granada	35	11	12	12	+3	+0.7	45
14	Albacete	35	11	11	13	-3	+1.1	44
15	Leganes	36	10	12	14	+0	+3.1	42
16	Sociedad B	36	11	8	17	-7	-9.3	41
17	Valladolid	35	10	10	15	-8	+2.2	40
18	Cadiz	35	10	8	17	-15	-7.4	38
19	Zaragoza	36	8	11	17	-16	+2.9	35
20	Huesca	35	8	9	18	-18	-0.4	33
21	Mirandes	35	8	9	18	-19	-6.1	33
22	Cultural Leonesa	35	8	8	19	-25	-9.1	32

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eibar	18	12	4	2	+19	+10.4	40
2	Malaga	18	11	6	1	+18	+5.3	39
3	Almeria	17	12	2	3	+19	+6.7	38
4	Santander	18	12	2	4	+18	+3.7	38
5	Las Palmas	19	11	5	3	+18	+3.2	38
6	Castellon	17	11	3	3	+15	+0.6	36
7	Ceuta	17	11	2	4	+7	+0.4	35
8	Burgos	18	9	6	3	+12	+5.4	33
9	Sp Gijon	18	9	6	3	+9	+3.3	33
10	La Coruna	17	8	5	4	+6	+1.4	29
11	Granada	18	6	8	4	+7	+3.5	26
12	Sociedad B	18	7	5	6	+2	-1.4	26
13	Huesca	18	6	7	5	+0	+1.1	25
14	Cordoba	17	7	4	6	-1	+1.1	25
15	Andorra	17	6	6	5	+4	+2.9	24
16	Leganes	17	6	5	6	+4	+7.5	23
17	Valladolid	18	6	5	7	+1	+4.0	23
18	Albacete	17	6	4	7	-5	-1.1	22
19	Cadiz	18	6	2	10	-8	-1.9	20
20	Zaragoza	18	4	6	8	-8	+6.1	18
21	Mirandes	18	4	5	9	-11	-3.0	17
22	Cultural Leonesa	17	3	4	10	-15	+2.0	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	18	9	5	4	+9	+1.0	32
2	Santander	18	9	3	6	+2	-4.8	30
3	Burgos	17	8	3	6	+1	-0.6	27
4	Andorra	18	7	4	7	+0	-0.9	25
5	Cordoba	18	6	5	7	-4	+2.6	23
6	Almeria	18	6	5	7	-4	-5.1	23
7	Albacete	18	5	7	6	+2	+2.2	22
8	Castellon	18	5	7	6	+0	+4.7	22
9	Las Palmas	17	5	7	5	-1	-0.8	22
10	Malaga	17	6	3	8	-1	+0.9	21
11	Leganes	19	4	7	8	-4	-4.4	19
12	Granada	17	5	4	8	-4	-2.9	19
13	Cultural Leonesa	18	5	4	9	-10	-11.1	19
14	Cadiz	17	4	6	7	-7	-5.5	18
15	Zaragoza	18	4	5	9	-8	-3.2	17
16	Valladolid	17	4	5	8	-9	-1.9	17
17	Mirandes	17	4	4	9	-8	-3.1	16
18	Sp Gijon	17	5	1	11	-8	-0.9	16
19	Sociedad B	18	4	3	11	-9	-7.9	15
20	Eibar	17	3	6	8	-10	-3.1	15
21	Ceuta	19	3	6	10	-20	-15.2	15
22	Huesca	17	2	2	13	-18	-1.6	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.