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Allsvenskan

Referee: Granit Maqedonci

Hammarby

S S U S T

8–1

Full-time

Orgryte

U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Orgryte

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

4,2

2,5

Scored

3,0

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

4,36 xG 1,46

62% Possession 38%

33 Shots 12

17 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 9

6 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hammarby 9. · Orgryte 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	3	2	1	0	+3	–	7
2	Elfsborg	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.8	7
3	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.8	6
4	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
5	Hacken	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.8	4
6	Orgryte	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.7	4
7	AIK	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	4
8	Vasteras SK	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.9	4
9	Hammarby	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
10	Degerfors	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.1	3
11	Brommapojkarna	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.0	2
12	Kalmar	2	0	0	2	-2	–	0
13	GAIS	2	0	0	2	-3	–	0
14	Halmstad	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.4	0
15	Goteborg	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.9	0
16	Mjallby	2	0	0	2	-5	+0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
2	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
3	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
4	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
5	AIK	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
6	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
7	Hacken	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
8	Brommapojkarna	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
9	Vasteras SK	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
10	Orgryte	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
11	Kalmar	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
12	GAIS	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
13	Goteborg	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.5	0
14	Mjallby	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
15	Halmstad	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.4	0
16	Degerfors	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
2	Malmo FF	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
3	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.4	3
4	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.8	3
5	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.5	3
6	Orgryte	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
7	Vasteras SK	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
8	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
9	Brommapojkarna	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
10	AIK	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
11	Kalmar	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
12	Halmstad	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
13	GAIS	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
14	Hammarby	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
15	Goteborg	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.4	0
16	Mjallby	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.