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LaLiga2

Referee: L Bestard Servera

Albacete

U S S U U

2–3

Full-time

Burgos

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Albacete Burgos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,7

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,7

0,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 39%

33%

45%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

42%

33%

Both score Ø 47%

55%

39%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,40 xG 1,09

54% Possession 46%

7 Shots 7

1 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Albacete 12. · Burgos 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	33	19	5	9	+18	-4.2	62
2	La Coruna	33	17	8	8	+15	+2.4	59
3	Almeria	33	17	7	9	+18	+5.1	58
4	Malaga	33	16	8	9	+15	+6.3	56
5	Las Palmas	33	14	12	7	+16	+2.4	54
6	Castellon	33	15	9	9	+14	+3.7	54
7	Burgos	33	15	9	9	+11	+4.1	54
8	Eibar	33	14	9	10	+6	+5.3	51
9	Ceuta	33	14	6	13	-10	-9.6	48
10	Sp Gijon	33	13	7	13	+1	+1.1	46
11	Cordoba	34	12	9	13	-6	+3.7	45
12	Albacete	33	11	11	11	-1	+1.8	44
13	Andorra	33	11	10	12	-1	+2.2	43
14	Granada	33	10	12	11	+3	+0.5	42
15	Sociedad B	33	11	7	15	-4	-8.4	40
16	Leganes	33	9	12	12	+2	+3.1	39
17	Valladolid	33	10	9	14	-7	+2.2	39
18	Cadiz	34	10	8	16	-14	-7.7	38
19	Zaragoza	33	8	10	15	-14	-0.2	34
20	Huesca	33	8	8	17	-17	-0.5	32
21	Mirandes	33	7	8	18	-20	-4.3	29
22	Cultural Leonesa	33	7	8	18	-25	-9.1	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eibar	17	11	4	2	+16	+8.3	37
2	Malaga	17	10	6	1	+16	+5.3	36
3	Almeria	16	11	2	3	+18	+6.7	35
4	Santander	17	11	2	4	+14	+0.2	35
5	Ceuta	16	11	1	4	+7	+0.4	34
6	Castellon	16	10	3	3	+14	+0.8	33
7	Las Palmas	17	9	5	3	+15	+3.2	32
8	Burgos	17	8	6	3	+11	+5.4	30
9	Sp Gijon	17	8	6	3	+8	+2.0	30
10	La Coruna	16	8	4	4	+6	+1.4	28
11	Sociedad B	17	7	5	5	+4	-1.9	26
12	Huesca	17	6	6	5	+0	+1.1	24
13	Granada	17	5	8	4	+6	+3.5	23
14	Valladolid	17	6	4	7	+1	+4.0	22
15	Cordoba	16	6	4	6	-2	+1.1	22
16	Albacete	16	6	4	6	-4	-0.4	22
17	Andorra	16	5	6	5	+0	+2.9	21
18	Leganes	16	5	5	6	+3	+7.5	20
19	Cadiz	17	6	2	9	-7	-2.2	20
20	Zaragoza	16	4	5	7	-7	+2.9	17
21	Mirandes	17	4	4	9	-11	-1.3	16
22	Cultural Leonesa	16	2	4	10	-16	+2.0	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	17	9	4	4	+9	+1.0	31
2	Santander	16	8	3	5	+4	-4.4	27
3	Burgos	16	7	3	6	+0	-1.3	24
4	Almeria	17	6	5	6	+0	-1.6	23
5	Cordoba	18	6	5	7	-4	+2.6	23
6	Albacete	17	5	7	5	+3	+2.2	22
7	Las Palmas	16	5	7	4	+1	-0.8	22
8	Andorra	17	6	4	7	-1	-0.6	22
9	Castellon	17	5	6	6	+0	+2.9	21
10	Malaga	16	6	2	8	-1	+0.9	20
11	Leganes	17	4	7	6	-1	-4.4	19
12	Granada	16	5	4	7	-3	-3.0	19
13	Cultural Leonesa	17	5	4	8	-9	-11.1	19
14	Cadiz	17	4	6	7	-7	-5.5	18
15	Zaragoza	17	4	5	8	-7	-3.2	17
16	Valladolid	16	4	5	7	-8	-1.9	17
17	Sp Gijon	16	5	1	10	-7	-0.9	16
18	Sociedad B	16	4	2	10	-8	-6.5	14
19	Eibar	16	3	5	8	-10	-3.1	14
20	Ceuta	17	3	5	9	-17	-10.0	14
21	Mirandes	16	3	4	9	-9	-3.1	13
22	Huesca	16	2	2	12	-17	-1.6	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.