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Ligue 2

Referee: F Benchabane

Troyes

S S S U T

1–0

Full-time

Boulogne

S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Boulogne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,5

1,2

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

1,2

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 44%

57%

30%

Points per game

1,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

57%

43%

Both score Ø 54%

60%

47%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

11 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 1

3 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 1. · Boulogne 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	30	17	7	6	+20	58
2	St Etienne	30	17	6	7	+22	57
3	Le Mans	31	15	12	4	+17	57
4	Rodez	31	13	12	6	+4	51
5	Reims	30	12	12	6	+15	48
6	Red Star	29	13	9	7	+6	48
7	Montpellier	31	13	8	10	+9	47
8	Annecy	31	13	7	11	+6	46
9	Pau FC	31	12	9	10	-6	45
10	Dunkerque	30	10	10	10	+8	40
11	Guingamp	31	10	10	11	-4	40
12	Boulogne	30	9	9	12	-8	36
13	Grenoble	31	6	14	11	-8	32
14	Clermont	31	7	9	15	-8	30
15	Nancy	31	7	9	15	-20	30
16	Laval	30	4	13	13	-17	25
17	Amiens	31	6	6	19	-19	24
18	Bastia	29	3	12	14	-17	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	15	12	1	2	+18	37
2	St Etienne	15	10	2	3	+19	32
3	Le Mans	16	9	5	2	+12	32
4	Montpellier	16	8	4	4	+8	28
5	Rodez	16	7	7	2	+5	28
6	Reims	14	7	4	3	+9	25
7	Annecy	15	6	6	3	+7	24
8	Red Star	15	6	6	3	-1	24
9	Guingamp	16	6	5	5	-2	23
10	Dunkerque	15	5	7	3	+8	22
11	Grenoble	15	4	9	2	-1	21
12	Pau FC	16	5	5	6	-4	20
13	Clermont	15	4	5	6	+0	17
14	Boulogne	15	4	3	8	-8	15
15	Nancy	16	4	3	9	-14	15
16	Bastia	14	2	5	7	-10	11
17	Laval	15	1	7	7	-9	10
18	Amiens	15	2	3	10	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Mans	15	6	7	2	+5	25
2	St Etienne	15	7	4	4	+3	25
3	Pau FC	15	7	4	4	-2	25
4	Red Star	14	7	3	4	+7	24
5	Reims	16	5	8	3	+6	23
6	Rodez	15	6	5	4	-1	23
7	Annecy	16	7	1	8	-1	22
8	Troyes	15	5	6	4	+2	21
9	Boulogne	15	5	6	4	+0	21
10	Montpellier	15	5	4	6	+1	19
11	Dunkerque	15	5	3	7	+0	18
12	Guingamp	15	4	5	6	-2	17
13	Nancy	15	3	6	6	-6	15
14	Amiens	16	4	3	9	-8	15
15	Laval	15	3	6	6	-8	15
16	Clermont	16	3	4	9	-8	13
17	Grenoble	16	2	5	9	-7	11
18	Bastia	15	1	7	7	-7	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.