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Eliteserien

Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen

Viking

T T S S S

3–2

Full-time

Brann

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viking Brann

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,8

Scored

2,5

2,2

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

75%

25%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

3,5

3,8

Scored

2,8

2,0

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,87 xG 1,50

56% Possession 44%

19 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Viking 3. · Brann 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	5	4	1	0	+9	+8.2	13
2	Lillestrom	4	3	1	0	+5	+2.3	10
3	Viking	4	3	0	1	+8	+5.2	9
4	Valerenga	4	2	1	1	+2	-2.6	7
5	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	1	1	+1	+3.6	7
6	Fredrikstad	4	2	1	1	-1	-3.1	7
7	Sandefjord	5	2	1	2	-1	-0.6	7
8	Molde	4	2	0	2	+1	+0.2	6
9	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.8	5
10	KFUM Oslo	4	1	1	2	-1	+0.7	4
11	Rosenborg	5	1	1	3	-5	-2.4	4
12	Brann	4	1	0	3	+1	+1.6	3
13	Kristiansund	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.5	3
14	Ham-Kam	3	1	0	2	-6	-2.8	3
15	Start	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.3	2
16	Aalesund	5	0	2	3	-6	-7.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	4	3	1	0	+8	+7.5	10
2	Viking	2	2	0	0	+8	+2.5	6
3	Molde	3	2	0	1	+4	+0.9	6
4	Fredrikstad	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.2	4
5	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.0	3
6	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
7	KFUM Oslo	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.2	3
8	Valerenga	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.5	3
9	Rosenborg	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.7	3
10	Kristiansund	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.4	3
11	Ham-Kam	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.0	3
12	Sarpsborg 08	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.4	2
13	Start	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.9	1
14	Sandefjord	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.0	1
15	Aalesund	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.2	1
16	Brann	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lillestrom	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.2	7
2	Sandefjord	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.4	6
3	Valerenga	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.1	4
4	Bodo/Glimt	3	1	1	1	-2	+0.6	4
5	Brann	2	1	0	1	+3	+0.8	3
6	Sarpsborg 08	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.3	3
7	Tromso	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
8	Viking	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.7	3
9	Fredrikstad	2	1	0	1	-3	-3.3	3
10	KFUM Oslo	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.8	1
11	Aalesund	2	0	1	1	-3	-5.0	1
12	Start	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.2	1
13	Rosenborg	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.1	1
14	Kristiansund	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
15	Molde	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.7	0
16	Ham-Kam	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.