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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
Charleroi
T U T T S
1–2
Full-time
Standard
U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 30%
27%
32%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
50%
45%
Both score Ø 50%
59%
41%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,73 xG 0,50
59% Possession 41%
12 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
11 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 13. · Standard 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 22 18 1 3 +23 +10.7 55
2 St. Gilloise 22 15 7 0 +28 +22.6 52
3 St Truiden 22 13 2 7 +10 +14.4 41
4 Mechelen 22 10 8 4 +10 -6.8 38
5 Gent 21 11 3 7 +6 +3.9 36
6 Genk 21 9 6 6 +5 +5.9 33
7 Cercle Brugge 26 8 7 11 -2 +0.3 31
8 Anderlecht 22 8 6 8 +3 +2.9 30
9 Antwerp 23 8 5 10 +2 -2.4 29
10 Westerlo 22 7 7 8 -4 +2.1 28
11 Waregem 26 8 4 14 -9 -5.5 28
12 Standard 22 7 5 10 -12 -9.5 26
13 Charleroi 22 6 4 12 -7 -4.0 22
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 23 5 7 11 -13 -7.7 22
15 RAAL La Louviere 26 4 10 12 -13 -10.0 22
16 Dender 26 3 6 17 -27 -16.9 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Standard
17′
🔁 I. Karamoko
↦ M. Ilaimaharitra
Half-time 0–0
Aiham Ousou 🟨
48′
Etienne Camara 🟨
54′
A. Scheidler 🔁
↦ A. Colassin
60′
1–0 A. Bernier
P. Pflucke
62′
67′
🔁 B. Nguene
↦ R. Said
67′
🔁 T. Nkada
↦ D. Eckert Ayensa
68′
B. Nguene 1–1
A. Abid
Y. Khalifi 🔁
↦ E. Camara
70′
Lewin Blum 🟨
76′
J. Romsaas 🔁
↦ P. Pflucke
84′
Y. Cisse 🔁
↦ L. Blum
84′
87′
🔁 T. Mohr
↦ G. Mortensen
90′
T. Mohr 1–2
95′
🟨 Casper Nielsen
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
30 M. Kone G
27 L. Blum D
4 A. Ousou D
95 C. Keita D
24 M. Nzita D
5 E. Camara M
56 A. Boukamir M
3 K. Van Den Kerkhof M
14 P. Pflucke M
17 A. Bernier M
25 A. Colassin F
Bench (9)
55 M. Delavallee
21 A. Scheidler
8 J. Romsaas
40 Y. Khalifi
9 F. Szymczak
43 Q. Benaets
23 J. Gaudin
32 M. Boukamir
45 Y. Cisse

Coach: Mario Kohnen

Standard

3-4-3
1 M. Epolo G
25 I. Hautekiet D
4 D. Bates D
24 J. Homawoo D
18 H. Lawrence M
94 C. Nielsen M
23 M. Ilaimaharitra M
3 G. Mortensen M
11 A. Abid F
10 D. Eckert Ayensa F
17 R. Said F
Bench (9)
21 L. Pirard
20 I. Karamoko
8 N. Mehssatou Sepulveda
29 D. Dierckx
19 R. Mitongo
26 B. Nguene
7 T. Mohr
59 T. Nkada
53 S. Assengue

Coach: Vincent Euvrard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,81
U
3,48
B ✓
4,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.