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Süper Lig

Referee: A Yilmaz

Kocaelispor

S T T U U

1–1

Full-time

Goztep

T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kocaelispor Goztep

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 36%

31%

41%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

31%

41%

Both score Ø 40%

38%

41%

Average goals

2,0

2,1

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,77 xG 0,72

70% Possession 30%

21 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 0

11 Free kicks against 23

5 Yellow cards 7

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kocaelispor 10. · Goztep 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	29	21	5	3	+45	+29.4	68
2	Fenerbahce	30	19	10	1	+38	+31.9	67
3	Trabzonspor	29	19	7	3	+25	+8.3	64
4	Besiktas	29	16	7	6	+19	+24.6	55
5	Buyuksehyr	29	13	8	8	+17	+6.0	47
6	Goztep	29	12	11	6	+10	+8.9	47
7	Samsunspor	29	9	12	8	-4	+6.2	39
8	Rizespor	30	9	10	11	-1	-0.0	37
9	Konyaspor	30	9	10	11	-3	-0.8	37
10	Kocaelispor	29	9	8	12	-9	-3.7	35
11	Gaziantep	29	8	10	11	-11	-4.6	34
12	Alanyaspor	29	6	15	8	+1	-8.6	33
13	Kasimpasa	29	6	10	13	-13	-13.0	28
14	Antalyaspor	30	7	7	16	-19	-22.3	28
15	Genclerbirligi	29	6	7	16	-14	-17.3	25
16	Eyüpspor	30	6	7	17	-22	-19.3	25
17	Kayserispor	29	4	11	14	-33	-13.1	23
18	Karagumruk	30	5	5	20	-26	-12.8	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	15	11	4	0	+27	+21.0	37
2	Fenerbahce	15	10	5	0	+19	+23.4	35
3	Trabzonspor	14	9	4	1	+14	+7.4	31
4	Besiktas	15	9	3	3	+11	+16.4	30
5	Goztep	15	6	7	2	+7	+7.7	25
6	Buyuksehyr	15	6	6	3	+9	+1.4	24
7	Rizespor	15	7	2	6	+0	+6.5	23
8	Kocaelispor	15	6	4	5	+3	+5.0	22
9	Konyaspor	15	5	6	4	+4	+4.6	21
10	Alanyaspor	15	5	5	5	+5	-2.1	20
11	Genclerbirligi	14	5	4	5	-1	+0.2	19
12	Samsunspor	14	4	7	3	-2	+6.5	19
13	Gaziantep	14	4	5	5	-5	+3.1	17
14	Karagumruk	15	4	3	8	-7	-0.7	15
15	Antalyaspor	15	4	3	8	-12	-6.8	15
16	Kasimpasa	14	3	5	6	-6	-0.7	14
17	Eyüpspor	15	3	4	8	-9	-5.1	13
18	Kayserispor	14	3	3	8	-20	-2.6	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	15	10	3	2	+11	+0.9	33
2	Fenerbahce	15	9	5	1	+19	+8.5	32
3	Galatasaray	14	10	1	3	+18	+8.4	31
4	Besiktas	14	7	4	3	+8	+8.1	25
5	Buyuksehyr	14	7	2	5	+8	+4.6	23
6	Goztep	14	6	4	4	+3	+1.3	22
7	Samsunspor	15	5	5	5	-2	-0.2	20
8	Gaziantep	15	4	5	6	-6	-7.7	17
9	Konyaspor	15	4	4	7	-7	-5.3	16
10	Rizespor	15	2	8	5	-1	-6.6	14
11	Kasimpasa	15	3	5	7	-7	-12.4	14
12	Alanyaspor	14	1	10	3	-4	-6.5	13
13	Antalyaspor	15	3	4	8	-7	-15.5	13
14	Kocaelispor	14	3	4	7	-12	-8.6	13
15	Eyüpspor	15	3	3	9	-13	-14.1	12
16	Kayserispor	15	1	8	6	-13	-10.5	11
17	Genclerbirligi	15	1	3	11	-13	-17.5	6
18	Karagumruk	15	1	2	12	-19	-12.1	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.