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LaLiga2

Referee: G Etayo

Valladolid

U S U S T

0–1

Full-time

Burgos

T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Burgos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

4,2

1,7

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

2,3

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 37%

29%

45%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

48%

35%

Both score Ø 44%

48%

39%

Average goals

2,6

2,0

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,59 xG 0,94

54% Possession 46%

11 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valladolid 18. · Burgos 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	31	18	5	8	+18	-2.5	59
2	Almeria	31	16	7	8	+16	+2.2	55
3	La Coruna	31	16	7	8	+13	+2.4	55
4	Malaga	31	16	6	9	+15	+4.1	54
5	Las Palmas	31	13	12	6	+16	+2.8	51
6	Castellon	31	14	8	9	+12	+3.7	50
7	Burgos	31	14	8	9	+10	+3.7	50
8	Ceuta	32	14	5	13	-10	-9.6	47
9	Sp Gijon	31	13	6	12	+3	+1.1	45
10	Eibar	31	12	9	10	+3	+4.9	45
11	Albacete	31	11	9	11	-1	+1.8	42
12	Cordoba	32	11	9	12	-6	+2.5	42
13	Sociedad B	31	11	7	13	+1	-5.4	40
14	Granada	31	9	12	10	+3	-0.0	39
15	Andorra	31	10	9	12	-5	+2.8	39
16	Cadiz	32	10	8	14	-9	-6.5	38
17	Leganes	31	9	10	12	+2	+5.3	37
18	Valladolid	31	9	9	13	-9	+2.5	36
19	Huesca	31	8	7	16	-15	+0.1	31
20	Zaragoza	31	7	9	15	-16	-1.9	30
21	Mirandes	32	7	7	18	-20	-4.3	28
22	Cultural Leonesa	31	7	7	17	-21	-9.6	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malaga	16	10	5	1	+16	+3.1	35
2	Eibar	16	10	4	2	+14	+7.9	34
3	Ceuta	16	11	1	4	+7	+0.4	34
4	Almeria	15	10	2	3	+14	+3.8	32
5	Santander	16	10	2	4	+12	+0.2	32
6	Castellon	15	9	3	3	+12	+0.8	30
7	Las Palmas	16	8	5	3	+13	+3.2	29
8	Burgos	16	8	5	3	+11	+5.4	29
9	Sp Gijon	16	8	5	3	+8	+2.0	29
10	Sociedad B	16	7	5	4	+5	-1.9	26
11	La Coruna	15	7	4	4	+4	+1.4	25
12	Huesca	16	6	5	5	+0	+1.1	23
13	Cordoba	16	6	4	6	-2	+1.1	22
14	Albacete	15	6	3	6	-4	-0.4	21
15	Granada	16	4	8	4	+4	+3.0	20
16	Andorra	15	5	5	5	+0	+2.9	20
17	Cadiz	16	6	2	8	-5	-1.0	20
18	Leganes	15	5	4	6	+3	+7.5	19
19	Valladolid	15	5	4	6	-1	+4.4	19
20	Mirandes	16	4	3	9	-11	-1.3	15
21	Zaragoza	15	3	5	7	-9	+1.2	14
22	Cultural Leonesa	15	2	4	9	-12	+1.5	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	16	9	3	4	+9	+1.0	30
2	Santander	15	8	3	4	+6	-2.7	27
3	Almeria	16	6	5	5	+2	-1.6	23
4	Las Palmas	15	5	7	3	+3	-0.3	22
5	Albacete	16	5	6	5	+3	+2.2	21
6	Burgos	15	6	3	6	-1	-1.7	21
7	Castellon	16	5	5	6	+0	+2.9	20
8	Cordoba	16	5	5	6	-4	+1.4	20
9	Granada	15	5	4	6	-1	-3.0	19
10	Malaga	15	6	1	8	-1	+0.9	19
11	Andorra	16	5	4	7	-5	-0.1	19
12	Leganes	16	4	6	6	-1	-2.2	18
13	Cadiz	16	4	6	6	-4	-5.5	18
14	Cultural Leonesa	16	5	3	8	-9	-11.1	18
15	Valladolid	16	4	5	7	-8	-1.9	17
16	Sp Gijon	15	5	1	9	-5	-0.9	16
17	Zaragoza	16	4	4	8	-7	-3.2	16
18	Sociedad B	15	4	2	9	-4	-3.6	14
19	Mirandes	16	3	4	9	-9	-3.1	13
20	Ceuta	16	3	4	9	-17	-10.0	13
21	Eibar	15	2	5	8	-11	-3.1	11
22	Huesca	15	2	2	11	-15	-1.0	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.