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LaLiga2

Referee: D Arcediano

Sp Gijon

S S T S U

2–2

Full-time

Valladolid

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

2,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 37%

46%

27%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

50%

42%

Both score Ø 50%

58%

42%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

58% Possession 42%

17 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Gijon 9. · Valladolid 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Castellon	27	14	7	6	+19	+2.3	49
2	Almeria	27	14	6	7	+13	+0.9	48
3	Santander	26	14	5	7	+17	-0.9	47
4	La Coruna	27	13	7	7	+12	+3.1	46
5	Las Palmas	27	10	12	5	+9	+0.4	42
6	Malaga	26	12	5	9	+8	+0.3	41
7	Cordoba	26	11	8	7	+5	+2.0	41
8	Burgos	26	11	7	8	+4	+4.0	40
9	Sp Gijon	26	12	4	10	+2	+2.4	40
10	Ceuta	26	11	5	10	-5	-5.4	38
11	Eibar	27	9	8	10	-1	+2.1	35
12	Cadiz	26	9	8	9	-2	-1.9	35
13	Albacete	26	9	7	10	-5	+1.8	34
14	Leganes	27	8	9	10	+1	+5.2	33
15	Granada	27	7	11	9	+0	+0.8	32
16	Sociedad B	26	8	7	11	-2	-4.8	31
17	Huesca	27	8	6	13	-10	+1.5	30
18	Andorra	26	7	8	11	-9	+1.6	29
19	Valladolid	26	7	7	12	-10	+1.2	28
20	Cultural Leonesa	27	7	6	14	-14	-9.6	27
21	Mirandes	27	6	6	15	-16	-4.3	24
22	Zaragoza	26	5	9	12	-16	-2.8	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eibar	14	9	3	2	+12	+5.8	30
2	Castellon	13	9	2	2	+14	+0.8	29
3	Almeria	14	9	2	3	+11	+2.5	29
4	Malaga	13	8	4	1	+13	+1.7	28
5	Ceuta	13	9	1	3	+6	+0.1	28
6	Santander	13	8	2	3	+14	+0.7	26
7	Sp Gijon	13	7	3	3	+5	+2.2	24
8	Las Palmas	14	6	5	3	+8	+0.8	23
9	Sociedad B	13	6	5	2	+6	-1.5	23
10	Burgos	14	6	5	3	+5	+4.6	23
11	La Coruna	13	6	4	3	+5	+2.1	22
12	Huesca	14	6	4	4	+2	+1.1	22
13	Cordoba	13	6	3	4	+3	+0.2	21
14	Cadiz	13	6	2	5	+1	+1.3	20
15	Granada	14	4	7	3	+5	+3.7	19
16	Albacete	13	5	2	6	-5	-0.4	17
17	Leganes	13	4	4	5	+1	+6.1	16
18	Andorra	12	3	5	4	-1	+1.8	14
19	Valladolid	13	3	4	6	-3	+3.1	13
20	Mirandes	13	3	3	7	-9	-1.3	12
21	Zaragoza	13	2	5	6	-10	+0.3	11
22	Cultural Leonesa	13	2	4	7	-8	+0.3	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	14	7	3	4	+7	+1.0	24
2	Santander	13	6	3	4	+3	-1.5	21
3	Castellon	14	5	5	4	+5	+1.5	20
4	Cordoba	13	5	5	3	+2	+1.8	20
5	Almeria	13	5	4	4	+2	-1.6	19
6	Las Palmas	13	4	7	2	+1	-0.3	19
7	Albacete	13	4	5	4	+0	+2.2	17
8	Leganes	14	4	5	5	+0	-0.9	17
9	Burgos	12	5	2	5	-1	-0.6	17
10	Cultural Leonesa	14	5	2	7	-6	-9.9	17
11	Sp Gijon	13	5	1	7	-3	+0.2	16
12	Cadiz	13	3	6	4	-3	-3.2	15
13	Valladolid	13	4	3	6	-7	-1.9	15
14	Andorra	14	4	3	7	-8	-0.2	15
15	Granada	13	3	4	6	-5	-2.9	13
16	Malaga	13	4	1	8	-5	-1.4	13
17	Zaragoza	13	3	4	6	-6	-3.1	13
18	Mirandes	14	3	3	8	-7	-3.1	12
19	Ceuta	13	2	4	7	-11	-5.4	10
20	Sociedad B	13	2	2	9	-8	-3.3	8
21	Huesca	13	2	2	9	-12	+0.4	8
22	Eibar	13	0	5	8	-13	-3.7	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.