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LaLiga2

Referee: S Lax

Castellon

U S S S U

1–3

Full-time

Santander

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Santander

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

0,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 54%

52%

56%

Points per game

1,8

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

44%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

48%

70%

Average goals

2,6

3,3

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

64% Possession 36%

15 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

5 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Castellon 2. · Santander 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	27	15	5	7	+18	-0.9	50
2	Castellon	27	14	7	6	+19	+2.3	49
3	Almeria	28	14	7	7	+13	+0.9	49
4	Malaga	28	14	5	9	+10	+1.2	47
5	La Coruna	27	13	7	7	+12	+3.1	46
6	Burgos	28	12	7	9	+4	+3.1	43
7	Las Palmas	27	10	12	5	+9	+0.4	42
8	Cordoba	27	11	8	8	+4	+2.0	41
9	Sp Gijon	27	12	5	10	+2	+2.4	41
10	Ceuta	27	12	5	10	-4	-5.4	41
11	Eibar	27	9	8	10	-1	+2.1	35
12	Cadiz	27	9	8	10	-4	-2.8	35
13	Albacete	28	9	8	11	-6	+1.8	35
14	Sociedad B	27	9	7	11	+0	-3.9	34
15	Leganes	27	8	9	10	+1	+5.2	33
16	Granada	28	7	11	10	-1	-0.1	32
17	Andorra	27	8	8	11	-8	+1.6	32
18	Valladolid	28	8	8	12	-9	+1.2	32
19	Huesca	28	8	6	14	-11	+1.5	30
20	Cultural Leonesa	27	7	6	14	-14	-9.6	27
21	Mirandes	27	6	6	15	-16	-4.3	24
22	Zaragoza	28	5	9	14	-18	-1.8	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malaga	14	9	4	1	+14	+1.7	31
2	Ceuta	14	10	1	3	+7	+0.1	31
3	Eibar	14	9	3	2	+12	+5.8	30
4	Santander	14	9	2	3	+15	+0.7	29
5	Castellon	13	9	2	2	+14	+0.8	29
6	Almeria	14	9	2	3	+11	+2.5	29
7	Sp Gijon	14	7	4	3	+5	+2.2	25
8	Las Palmas	14	6	5	3	+8	+0.8	23
9	Sociedad B	13	6	5	2	+6	-1.5	23
10	Burgos	14	6	5	3	+5	+4.6	23
11	La Coruna	13	6	4	3	+5	+2.1	22
12	Huesca	14	6	4	4	+2	+1.1	22
13	Cordoba	13	6	3	4	+3	+0.2	21
14	Cadiz	14	6	2	6	-1	+0.4	20
15	Granada	15	4	7	4	+4	+2.8	19
16	Albacete	14	5	3	6	-5	-0.4	18
17	Andorra	13	4	5	4	+0	+1.8	17
18	Leganes	13	4	4	5	+1	+6.1	16
19	Valladolid	14	4	4	6	-2	+3.1	16
20	Mirandes	13	3	3	7	-9	-1.3	12
21	Zaragoza	14	2	5	7	-11	+1.2	11
22	Cultural Leonesa	13	2	4	7	-8	+0.3	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	14	7	3	4	+7	+1.0	24
2	Santander	13	6	3	4	+3	-1.5	21
3	Castellon	14	5	5	4	+5	+1.5	20
4	Almeria	14	5	5	4	+2	-1.6	20
5	Cordoba	14	5	5	4	+1	+1.8	20
6	Burgos	14	6	2	6	-1	-1.5	20
7	Las Palmas	13	4	7	2	+1	-0.3	19
8	Leganes	14	4	5	5	+0	-0.9	17
9	Albacete	14	4	5	5	-1	+2.2	17
10	Cultural Leonesa	14	5	2	7	-6	-9.9	17
11	Sp Gijon	13	5	1	7	-3	+0.2	16
12	Malaga	14	5	1	8	-4	-0.5	16
13	Valladolid	14	4	4	6	-7	-1.9	16
14	Cadiz	13	3	6	4	-3	-3.2	15
15	Andorra	14	4	3	7	-8	-0.2	15
16	Granada	13	3	4	6	-5	-2.9	13
17	Zaragoza	14	3	4	7	-7	-3.1	13
18	Mirandes	14	3	3	8	-7	-3.1	12
19	Sociedad B	14	3	2	9	-6	-2.4	11
20	Ceuta	13	2	4	7	-11	-5.4	10
21	Huesca	14	2	2	10	-13	+0.4	8
22	Eibar	13	0	5	8	-13	-3.7	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.