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LaLiga2

Referee: C Muniz

Valladolid

U T S T T

0–4

Full-time

Castellon

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Castellon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 40%

29%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

38%

46%

Both score Ø 46%

42%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,6

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

1,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

50% Possession 50%

9 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

7 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valladolid 17. · Castellon 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	24	13	5	6	+17	+0.5	44
2	Castellon	24	12	6	6	+13	+3.0	42
3	La Coruna	24	11	7	6	+12	+2.7	40
4	Las Palmas	25	10	10	5	+9	-0.4	40
5	Almeria	24	11	6	7	+10	+0.9	39
6	Burgos	25	11	6	8	+4	+3.1	39
7	Malaga	24	11	5	8	+8	+0.3	38
8	Cordoba	24	10	8	6	+5	+1.0	38
9	Sp Gijon	24	11	3	10	+1	+1.9	36
10	Ceuta	24	10	5	9	-4	-5.1	35
11	Cadiz	24	9	7	8	-1	-1.0	34
12	Albacete	24	9	6	9	-4	+2.3	33
13	Leganes	25	8	8	9	+2	+5.6	32
14	Eibar	25	8	8	9	-1	+0.5	32
15	Granada	25	6	11	8	-3	-0.4	29
16	Andorra	25	7	8	10	-8	+1.6	29
17	Valladolid	24	7	7	10	-2	+2.4	28
18	Sociedad B	25	7	7	11	-3	-4.8	28
19	Huesca	24	7	6	11	-10	+0.4	27
20	Cultural Leonesa	24	7	4	13	-13	-9.0	25
21	Zaragoza	25	5	8	12	-16	-2.8	23
22	Mirandes	24	5	5	14	-16	-2.8	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eibar	13	8	3	2	+11	+4.4	27
2	Castellon	12	8	2	2	+12	+1.5	26
3	Malaga	12	7	4	1	+12	+1.7	25
4	Ceuta	12	8	1	3	+5	+0.0	25
5	Santander	12	7	2	3	+13	+0.7	23
6	Almeria	12	7	2	3	+9	+2.5	23
7	Las Palmas	13	6	4	3	+8	+0.8	22
8	Burgos	13	6	4	3	+5	+3.6	22
9	Sp Gijon	12	6	3	3	+4	+2.2	21
10	Sociedad B	12	5	5	2	+5	-1.5	20
11	Cadiz	12	6	2	4	+2	+1.3	20
12	Huesca	12	5	4	3	+1	+0.0	19
13	Cordoba	12	5	3	4	+2	-0.8	18
14	La Coruna	11	4	4	3	+3	+2.4	16
15	Granada	13	3	7	3	+1	+2.5	16
16	Albacete	12	5	1	6	-5	+0.1	16
17	Leganes	12	4	3	5	+1	+5.5	15
18	Andorra	12	3	5	4	-1	+1.8	14
19	Valladolid	12	3	4	5	+1	+3.1	13
20	Mirandes	12	3	2	7	-9	-0.5	11
21	Zaragoza	13	2	5	6	-10	+0.3	11
22	Cultural Leonesa	12	2	3	7	-8	+0.3	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	13	7	3	3	+9	+0.3	24
2	Santander	12	6	3	3	+4	-0.2	21
3	Cordoba	12	5	5	2	+3	+1.8	20
4	Las Palmas	12	4	6	2	+1	-1.1	18
5	Albacete	12	4	5	3	+1	+2.2	17
6	Leganes	13	4	5	4	+1	+0.1	17
7	Burgos	12	5	2	5	-1	-0.6	17
8	Almeria	12	4	4	4	+1	-1.6	16
9	Castellon	12	4	4	4	+1	+1.5	16
10	Cultural Leonesa	12	5	1	6	-5	-9.3	16
11	Sp Gijon	12	5	0	7	-3	-0.3	15
12	Valladolid	12	4	3	5	-3	-0.7	15
13	Andorra	13	4	3	6	-7	-0.2	15
14	Cadiz	12	3	5	4	-3	-2.3	14
15	Granada	12	3	4	5	-4	-2.9	13
16	Malaga	12	4	1	7	-4	-1.4	13
17	Zaragoza	12	3	3	6	-6	-3.1	12
18	Ceuta	12	2	4	6	-9	-5.1	10
19	Mirandes	12	2	3	7	-7	-2.3	9
20	Sociedad B	13	2	2	9	-8	-3.3	8
21	Huesca	12	2	2	8	-11	+0.4	8
22	Eibar	12	0	5	7	-12	-4.0	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.